MSTR
Strategy Inc
Updated 2026-04-02
Strategy Inc (MSTR) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026
$148.94 ▲ 3.76%
MSTR interactive stock chart
Key statistics
| Market cap | $34.09B | Today’s volume | 15,048,319 |
| Revenue (TTM) | $477,234,000 | Avg. daily volume | N/A |
| P/E ratio | -8.95x | Today’s range | 121.44 – 126.3 |
| Debt / equity | 0.16x | 52-week range | 104.17-457.22 |
| Net margin | -844.76% | Beta | 3.633x |
| ROE | N/A% | Current ratio | 5.62x |
| Dividend & yield | $0 (0%) | Next earnings | 2026-05-07 |
| FCF yield | -0.23% | FMP rating | C |
| DCF fair value | $-31.32 (-125.5%) | Revenue growth | 3.0% |
See also: ADSK · CDNS · DDOG · FTNT · GLW · All Software – Application stocks
Is MSTR a good stock to buy in 2026?
MSTR’s P/E ratio is -8.95x, significantly below the Software – Application sector average of 63.3x, suggesting the company is currently unprofitable. The DCF fair value is a concerning $-31.32, indicating the MSTR stock is heavily overvalued based on this metric, with a -125.5% divergence. Despite these challenging financial metrics, 62.1% of analysts rate MSTR as a “Buy,” presenting a mixed signal for potential investors asking if MSTR is a good stock for 2026.
Top Weakness: Negative Net Margin
Overall Signal: Mixed Valuation & Profitability
2026 MSTR price scenarios
Based on analyst consensus of $364.13 from 29 analysts. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.
Requires:
- Strong growth in its AI-powered analytics software division.
- Significant positive momentum in its bitcoin treasury strategy.
- Sustained institutional investor interest driving demand for MSTR stock.
Assumes:
- Strategy Inc achieves its forward EPS estimate of $343.1642.
- Forward revenue estimate of $476,389,300 is met.
- Maintains its current market position in both software and bitcoin exposure.
Key risks:
- Underperformance in its core software business.
- Significant volatility or decline in Bitcoin’s price impacting its treasury holdings.
- Increased regulatory scrutiny on its unique business model.
How does MSTR compare?
Side-by-side valuation, growth, and analyst ratings vs top Technology competitors.
About Strategy Inc (MSTR)
Strategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company offers investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed income instruments. It also provides AI-powered enterprise analytics software, including Strategy One, which provides non-technical users with the ability to directly access novel and actionable insig
Led by CEO Phong Q. Le, Strategy Inc employs approximately 1,546 individuals, focusing on its dual strategy of enterprise analytics and bitcoin treasury operations. The company’s distinctive strength lies in its pioneering approach to integrating a substantial Bitcoin holding into its corporate treasury, alongside its development of advanced AI-powered software solutions. This unique positioning sets MSTR apart in the technology sector, appealing to investors seeking exposure to both enterprise software innovation and the digital asset market.
MSTR competitive moat and business analysis
Strategy Inc, known by its MSTR stock ticker, currently faces significant challenges regarding its competitive moat, as reflected in its highly negative net margin of -844.76%. This indicates substantial unprofitability. The company’s Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) are N/A, preventing a clear assessment of its efficiency in generating profits from shareholder equity or capital employed. While its gross margin of 68.69% suggests a strong pricing structure for its core offerings, the subsequent negative margins point to high operating costs or other significant expenses eroding profitability.
As of fiscal year 2025, Strategy Inc’s revenue generation remains focused on its primary business areas. The segmentation data [(‘symbol’, ‘MSTR’), (‘fiscalYear’, 2025), (‘period’, ‘FY’), (‘reportedCurrency’, ‘USD’), (‘date’, ‘2025-12-31’)] indicates revenue streams consistent with its dual strategy of enterprise analytics software and its bitcoin treasury strategy. Geographic revenue distribution [(‘symbol’, ‘MSTR’), (‘fiscalYear’, 2025), (‘period’, ‘FY’), (‘reportedCurrency’, ‘USD’), (‘date’, ‘2025-12-31’)] highlights its international presence across the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, signifying a diversified market reach for its technology solutions.
The company’s revenue growth year-over-year stands at a modest 3.0%, suggesting a slowing trend in its core operations. This modest growth, combined with deep unprofitability, raises questions about the long-term sustainability of its current competitive advantages. With no specific transcript quote available for current discussion, investors often look to management commentary on future strategies to ascertain how Strategy Inc plans to bolster its market position and improve financial performance for MSTR stock.
When evaluating MSTR stock, it’s crucial to compare it against peers in the Technology sector, specifically in Software – Application. Investors seeking a comprehensive understanding of MSTR valuation and operational performance might find value in comparing it to companies like Autodesk (ADSK), Cadence Design Systems (CDNS), and Datadog (DDOG). These comparisons can highlight strengths and weaknesses in areas such as market share, product innovation, and financial efficiency. For a detailed side-by-side analysis, consider checking MSTR vs ADSK, MSTR vs CDNS, and MSTR vs DDOG.
Strategy Inc analyst rating
Based on 29 analysts. 62.1% rate MSTR Buy or Strong Buy.
A 62.1% ‘Buy’ rating among 29 analysts is generally considered a strong positive signal within the Technology sector, suggesting a prevailing optimistic outlook on the MSTR stock’s future prospects. However, given the significant proportion of ‘Hold’ (27.6%) and ‘Sell’ (10.3%) ratings, investors should delve deeper into the underlying reasons for these varied perspectives to get a balanced view of MSTR’s potential.
MSTR financial scorecard
Comprehensive ranking of MSTR across four financial dimensions.
3.0/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Debt / equity | 0.16x | Low debt |
| Current ratio | 5.62x | Healthy |
| FCF yield | -0.23% | Weak |
| DCF vs price | -125.5% | Overvalued |
| FMP debt score | 2/5 | Below avg |
2/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Gross margin | 68.69% | Excellent |
| Net margin | -844.76% | Low |
| EBITDA margin | -1139.25% | Low |
| ROE | N/A | Low |
| ROA | N/A | Low |
| FMP ROE score | 1/5 | Below avg |
5.2/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth YoY | +3.0% | Slowing |
| Revenue (TTM) | $477,234,000 | Large scale |
| Forward EPS est. | $343.1642 | Analyst consensus |
| Forward revenue | $0.5B | Analyst consensus |
| FMP DCF score | 1/5 | Below avg |
5.0/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | -8.95x | Cheap |
| P/B ratio | 0.71x | Cheap |
| P/S ratio | 71.43x | Expensive |
| DCF fair value | $-31.32 | Overvalued |
| FMP P/E score | 1/5 | Below avg |
| FMP overall | 2/5 | Weak |
Is MSTR undervalued or overvalued?
Assessing MSTR valuation presents a complex picture. The company currently trades at a P/E ratio of -8.95x, which is a significant discount compared to the Software – Application sector average of 63.3x. While a negative P/E typically signals unprofitability and could imply the stock is ‘cheap’ by this specific metric, it’s essential to understand the underlying reasons for negative earnings before drawing conclusions about MSTR stock’s intrinsic value.
Further complicating the MSTR valuation analysis is the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, which calculates a fair value of $-31.32. This represents a substantial -125.5% discount relative to the current stock price, strongly suggesting that MSTR is significantly overvalued by this fundamental valuation method. Investors considering if MSTR is a good stock should carefully reconcile the negative P/E with the concerning DCF valuation, alongside other financial health indicators.
MSTR financial health & key metrics
| Metric | MSTR | Sector avg | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | -8.95x | 63.3x | Negative P/E |
| Net margin | -844.76% | — | Very weak |
| ROE / ROIC | N/A | — | N/A |
| Debt / equity | 0.16x | — | Low debt |
| FCF yield | -0.23% | — | Negative |
| Revenue growth | 3.0% | — | Moderate |
| DCF fair value | $-31.32 | — | Overvalued |
For value investors, the current financial health of MSTR stock presents a mixed, and in some areas, challenging outlook. While the company boasts a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16x and a healthy current ratio of 5.62x, indicating strong liquidity, its profitability metrics are a major concern. The deeply negative net margin of -844.76% and EBITDA margin of -1139.25% highlight significant operational losses. Furthermore, the DCF fair value of $-31.32 suggests a considerable overvaluation, despite a negative P/E ratio that might superficially appear ‘cheap’. The modest 3.0% revenue growth adds to the complexity, making a strong case for MSTR valuation based solely on traditional value metrics difficult. This makes the question ‘is MSTR a good stock’ particularly challenging for value-focused investors.
Strategy Inc earnings history & next report
Strategy Inc reported EPS of $-42.93, missing estimates by 53562.5%. Next earnings: 2026-05-07 with EPS estimate of $-3.41.
For the upcoming earnings report on 2026-05-07, investors will be closely watching if Strategy Inc can narrow its losses, with an EPS estimate of $-3.41, a significant improvement from the prior miss of $-42.93. Key areas to observe include any commentary on its bitcoin treasury strategy, updates on the performance and adoption of its AI-powered enterprise analytics software, and management’s guidance on revenue growth and profitability targets. Any positive surprises in these areas could influence the MSTR stock trajectory.
MSTR daily short volume
Short volume data from FINRA CNMS Consolidated — shares sold short in the most recent US trading session. A high short ratio can signal bearish conviction or a potential short squeeze. Updated every trading day.
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Short volume ratio | 45.6% | 40-60% = moderate |
| Shares sold short | 3.32M | FINRA-reported for 2026-04-01 |
| Total reported volume | 7.29M | All FINRA ATS + OTC volume |
| Exempt short volume | 2.8K | Market-maker / arbitrage exempt trades |
| Signal | Moderate short activity | FINRA CNMS Consolidated |
MSTR insider trading activity
Corporate insiders must report trades to the SEC within two business days.
| Date | Insider | Role | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Patten Jarrod M | Director | Sale | 700 | $18.65 | $13,058 | SEC |
| 2026-03-30 | Patten Jarrod M | Director | Purchase | 700 | $18.65 | $13,058 | SEC |
| 2026-03-30 | Patten Jarrod M | Director | Sale | 700 | $128.04 | $89,628 | SEC |
| 2026-03-26 | Patten Jarrod M | Director | Sale | 700 | $18.65 | $13,058 | SEC |
| 2026-03-26 | Patten Jarrod M | Director | Purchase | 700 | $18.65 | $13,058 | SEC |
| 2026-03-26 | Patten Jarrod M | Director | Sale | 700 | $137.37 | $96,159 | SEC |
Source: SEC Form 4 via EDGAR · Data: Financial Modeling Prep · Not investment advice
Recent MSTR analyst rating changes
| Firm | Previous | New rating | Date | Action | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | Buy | → | Buy | 2026-03-18 | Reiterated |
| B. Riley Securities | Neutral | → | Buy | 2026-03-10 | Upgrade |
| BTIG | Buy | → | Buy | 2026-03-06 | Reiterated |
| Mizuho | Outperform | → | Outperform | 2026-02-17 | Reiterated |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | → | Overweight | 2026-02-09 | Reiterated |
Strategy Inc stock news today
How does MSTR compare to its peers?
Understanding MSTR’s position within the competitive landscape is crucial for a comprehensive MSTR valuation. By comparing Strategy Inc with its sector peers, investors can gain insights into relative performance, market positioning, and financial health. The Software – Application industry includes various companies that, while not identical, offer valuable benchmarks for MSTR stock. We examine how Strategy Inc stacks up against key players like Autodesk, Cadence Design Systems, and Datadog.
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is a leading design software and services company, serving architectural, engineering, construction, manufacturing, media, education, and entertainment industries. It provides a diversified portfolio of solutions, contrasting with MSTR’s dual focus on analytics and bitcoin.
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS) is a pivotal player in electronic design automation (EDA) software and hardware, supporting the global electronics industry. CDNS offers a more specialized, high-tech software focus compared to Strategy Inc’s broader enterprise analytics and crypto exposure.
Datadog, Inc. (DDOG) provides a monitoring and analytics platform for developers, IT operations teams, and business users in the cloud age. Its focus on cloud monitoring and observability offers a different yet relevant comparison point for software performance and growth against MSTR.
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FAQ — Strategy Inc (MSTR) stock
What is the market cap for MSTR?
As of 2026-04-02, MSTR market cap is $34.09B.
What is the P/E ratio for MSTR?
MSTR P/E is -8.95x, significantly lower than the Software – Application sector average of 63.3x. This indicates the company is not currently profitable, making a direct ‘cheap’ or ‘expensive’ assessment solely on P/E challenging without understanding the negative earnings.
What is the analyst price target for MSTR?
Consensus: $364.13 (196.6% upside). High: $705. Low: $175. 29 analysts as of 2026-04-02. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.
Is MSTR a good investment in 2026?
Whether MSTR is a good stock to buy in 2026 depends heavily on an investor’s risk tolerance and investment thesis, particularly regarding Bitcoin exposure. While 62.1% of analysts recommend a ‘Buy,’ the negative P/E of -8.95x and a DCF fair value of $-31.32 suggest significant unprofitability and potential overvaluation based on traditional metrics. Its unique business model, blending enterprise software with a substantial Bitcoin treasury, introduces distinct opportunities and risks.
Is MSTR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on a P/E ratio of -8.95x compared to the sector average of 63.3x, MSTR valuation appears complex due to current unprofitability. However, the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) fair value of $-31.32, which is -125.5% below the current price, strongly indicates that MSTR stock is significantly overvalued according to this fundamental metric. Investors must reconcile these conflicting signals when determining if MSTR is a good stock.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data: Financial Modeling Prep & SEC EDGAR. Always do your own research.
