John Paulson Portfolio Q4 2025 โ€” 13F Holdings & Top Stocks

Event-Driven  ยท  Paulson & Co.

John Paulson

The Greatest Trade Ever

Event-driven and merger arbitrage specialist who identified the U.S. subprime mortgage bubble years before it burst. Made the single greatest trade in Wall Street history by shorting mortgage-backed securities in 2007, returning 590% in one year.

Portfolio Value
$3.26T
Q4 2025 13F
Holdings
9
Disclosed positions
Avg Annual Return
~$20B personal profit on the 2007โ€“2008 subprime short
Long-term track record
John Paulson (Paulson & Co.) filed the Q4 2025 13F on Feb 17, 2026, disclosing 9 positions with a total equity portfolio of $3.26T. Top holding: MDGL at 30.48% of the portfolio. New positions this quarter: 1.
Total AUM
$3.26T
Disclosed equity portfolio
Positions
9
Q4 2025 total
New Buys
1
Initiated this quarter
Top Position
MDGL
30.48% of portfolio
Filing Date
Feb 17, 2026
SEC 13F-HR
Portfolio Allocation
MDGLMADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICA
30.48%
PPTAPERPETUA RESOURCES COR
24.01%
BHCBAUSCH HEALTH COS INC
15.61%
AAMIACADIAN ASSET MANAGEME
11.16%
NGNOVAGOLD RES INC
7.78%
AEMAGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD
4.07%
THMINTERNATIONAL TOWER HI
4.01%
SOLSSOLSTICE ADVANCED MATL
2.08%
THRYTHRYV HLDGS INC
0.81%
Top 10 by Weight
Position Activity
Sector Exposure
Healthcare46.09%
Materials41.95%
Financials11.16%
Technology0.81%

Paulson & Co. managed $3.26 trillion across just nine positions during Q4 2025. The fund saw minimal activity, adding one new stock and exiting one, while its five largest holdings consumed 89.1% of assets. MDGL alone represented 30.5% of the portfolio, followed by PPTA at 24.0%, BHC at 15.6%, AAMI at 11.2%, and NG completing the concentrated top five at 7.8%.

Top 10 Holdings โ€” Q4 2025

Largest disclosed positions by market value.
Allocation Snapshot
MDGL30.48%
PPTA24.01%
BHC15.61%
AAMI11.16%
NG7.78%
AEM4.07%
THM4.01%
SOLS2.08%
THRY0.81%
StockWeightActivityShares ฮ”Value
MDGL
MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC
30.48%
Reduce โˆ’10%โˆ’200K$994.36B
PPTA
PERPETUA RESOURCES CORP
24.01%
Holdโ€”$783.13B
BHC
BAUSCH HEALTH COS INC
15.61%
Add +4%+2.50M$509.13B
AAMI
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
11.16%
Holdโ€”$363.93B
NG
NOVAGOLD RES INC
7.78%
Holdโ€”$253.86B
AEM
AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD
4.07%
Holdโ€”$132.84B
THM
INTERNATIONAL TOWER HILL MIN
4.01%
Holdโ€”$130.65B
SOLS
SOLSTICE ADVANCED MATLS INC
2.08%
New Buy+1.40M new$67.81B
THRY
THRYV HLDGS INC
0.81%
Add +2%+67K$26.30B

Paulson’s Implied Market View

Three key takeaways from the Q4 2025 portfolio shift.
1
Paulson bets on specific company events, not broad market direction.
2
Biotech dominates his portfolio, adding SOLS while exiting MDGL.
3
Failed clinical trials or merger collapses threaten concentrated positions.

Last Quarter Activity โ€” Q4 2025

Positions added and cut vs the prior 13F filing.
Last Buys & Adds
StockActionShares ฮ”ValueWt.
SOLS
SOLSTICE ADVANCED MATLS INC
New Buy+1.40M new$67.81B2.08%
BHC
BAUSCH HEALTH COS INC
Add +4%+2.50M$509.13B15.61%
THRY
THRYV HLDGS INC
Add +2%+67K$26.30B0.81%

QoQ change vs Sep 2025 filing.

Last Sells & Exits
StockActionShares ฮ”ValueWt.
MDGL
MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC
Reduce โˆ’10%โˆ’200K$994.36B30.48%
HON
HON
HONEYWELL INTL INC
Full ExitSold 100%$42.10B0%
TMQ
TMQ
TRILOGY METALS INC NEW
Full ExitSold 100%$30.09B0%

QoQ change vs Sep 2025 filing.

New Positions in Q4 2025

Paulson initiated 1 fresh positions this quarter.

Paulson initiated one significant new equity position in Q4 2025. He acquired $67.81 billion of SOLSTICE ADVANCED MATLS INC (SOLS). The veteran investor’s materials bet hints at a specific corporate catalyst. He built his reputation identifying market dislocations and exploiting them. Paulson likely sees an undervaluation tied to a potential merger, spin-off, or industry consolidation. This substantial commitment reflects a conviction about a fundamental change in the advanced materials sector.

Paulson’s sole new position, SOLS, aligns with his established investment methodology. He consistently targets unique, event-driven scenarios. His historic 590% return from shorting mortgage-backed securities in 2007 demonstrated a singular skill for spotting major dislocations. The SOLS investment suggests he again identifies a specific, mispriced opportunity within a complex market structure. He executes significant, concentrated bets when he perceives such a distinct event unfolding.

SOLS โ€” $67.81B
SOLSTICE ADVANCED MATLS INC
SOLS entered the portfolio at $67.81B, representing 2.08% of AUM.
StockActionValue
SOLS
SOLSTICE ADVANCED MATLS INC
New Buy$67.81B

Increased Positions & Conviction Moves

Where Paulson added to existing stakes.

John Paulson, the investor who identified the U.S. subprime mortgage bubble years before it burst, made precise adjustments to his Q4 2025 portfolio. His firm increased BHC holdings by 4%, elevating the position to $509.13 billion. Paulson simultaneously added 2% to THRY, expanding that stake to $26.30 billion. These calculated, small-percentage additions reflect Paulson’s characteristic pattern: he reinforces existing high-conviction event-driven or merger arbitrage plays rather than initiating new ones. The strategy mirrors his 2007 method of scaling into a thesis, albeit on a different side of the trade.

StockActionValue
BHC
BAUSCH HEALTH COS INC
Add +4%$509.13B
THRY
THRYV HLDGS INC
Add +2%$26.30B

Stocks Sold or Reduced in Q4 2025

Complete exits and major trims this quarter.

Paulson & Co. adjusted positions in Q4 2025, reducing its Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc. (MDGL) stake by 10%. This trim from an event-driven specialist signals evolving conviction on specific corporate catalysts for the biotech company. Paulson identified the U.S. subprime mortgage bubble years before it burst, generating a 590% return shorting mortgage-backed securities in 2007. His firm’s portfolio changes often precede shifts in expected outcomes.

Trimming MDGL by 10% suggests diminished enthusiasm for a near-term event, or a decision to deploy capital elsewhere for better risk-adjusted returns. Paulson’s strategies depend on precise market triggers; a reduction indicates those triggers appear less compelling. Capital allocation aligns with evolving market dynamics.

StockActionฮ” ValueShares ฮ”
MDGL
MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC
Reduce โˆ’10%$994.36B200K

Why Paulson’s Moves Matter

Paulson’s Q4 2025 portfolio shifts signal a concentrated bet on sector-specific events rather than broad macro plays. He allocated 30.5% to MDGL, valued at $994.36 billion, 24.0% to PPTA, valued at $783.13 billion, and 15.6% to BHC, valued at $509.13 billion. This heavy concentration in biotech and pharmaceuticals aligns with his history of identifying mispriced assets ahead of significant corporate catalysts. A new position, the sole addition this quarter, further suggests conviction in idiosyncratic opportunities. Paulson famously identified the U.S. subprime mortgage bubble, making a 590% return in 2007 by shorting mortgage-backed securities; his current moves demonstrate a continued focus on event-driven strategies.

Paulson’s sharp sector focus offers lessons for investors, though inherent lags limit direct replication. His portfolio, dominated by MDGL, PPTA, and BHC, indicates where a discerning eye finds potential value. Paulson’s Q4 moves reflect a precise targeting of assets expected to experience specific corporate events. Remember, public 13F filings appear 45 days after quarter end, meaning current holdings may differ significantly. These disclosures showcase *past* positions; retail investors should not simply mirror trades, but rather understand the rationale behind such concentrated, event-driven bets from a manager who executed Wall Street’s single greatest trade.

About John Paulson

Event-driven and merger arbitrage specialist who identified the U.S. subprime mortgage bubble years before it burst. Made the single greatest trade in Wall Street history by shorting mortgage-backed securities in 2007, returning 590% in one year.

  • Netted ~$15B for clients and $4B personally shorting subprime mortgages in 2007
  • Paulson Credit Fund returned 590% in 2007 โ€” the greatest annual fund return in history
  • Manages merger arbitrage, event-driven, and gold strategies
  • Later pivoted to gold and real assets โ€” one of history’s largest gold ETF holders

Complete Q4 2025 13F Holdings

All 9 positions disclosed โ€” sorted by portfolio weight.
StockWeightActivityShares ฮ”Value
MDGL
MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC
30.48%
Reduce โˆ’10%โˆ’200K$994.36B
PPTA
PERPETUA RESOURCES CORP
24.01%
Holdโ€”$783.13B
BHC
BAUSCH HEALTH COS INC
15.61%
Add +4%+2.50M$509.13B
AAMI
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
11.16%
Holdโ€”$363.93B
NG
NOVAGOLD RES INC
7.78%
Holdโ€”$253.86B
AEM
AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD
4.07%
Holdโ€”$132.84B
THM
INTERNATIONAL TOWER HILL MIN
4.01%
Holdโ€”$130.65B
SOLS
SOLSTICE ADVANCED MATLS INC
2.08%
New Buy+1.40M new$67.81B
THRY
THRYV HLDGS INC
0.81%
Add +2%+67K$26.30B

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data: sec-api.io & SEC EDGAR 13F-HR filings. 13F filings are filed 45 days after quarter end โ€” positions may have changed. Last updated: 2026-04-13.