Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock (KDK) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026

NASDAQ
KDK
Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock
Updated 2026-05-12

Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock (KDK) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026

Current price
$6.962 ▼ 2.08%
Market cap$1.37B
ConsensusBuy
Price target$11 +46.9%
52-week range5.43-11.35
Next earnings2026-08-06

KDK interactive stock chart

Key statistics

Overall score

⚠ Hold
Valuation

3.5/10

Financial health

5.0/10

Profitability

0/10

Growth

0/10

Analyst consensus

10/10

Current price
$6.962 ▼ 2.08%
NASDAQ · Live

52-week range
5.43-11.35
Low35%High
Short pressure
Revenue TTM
$3,797,000
↓ 74.6% YoY

Market cap
$1.37B
Large-cap

Next earnings
2026-08-06
EPS est. $-0.18
Market cap$1.37BToday’s volume1,427,270
Revenue (TTM)$3,797,000Avg. daily volumeN/A
P/E ratio-3.07xToday’s rangeN/A – N/A
Debt / equity-2.07x52-week range5.43-11.35
Net margin-10366.94%Beta0.4047318x
ROEN/A%Current ratio3.69x
Dividend & yield$0 (0%)Next earnings2026-08-06
FCF yield-12.63%FMP ratingC
DCF fair value$0.06 (-99.2%)Revenue growth-74.6%
Other Technology stocks to watchAll stocks →

See also: ADEA · ALIT · AMPL · FSLY · KARO · All Software – Application stocks

Is KDK a good stock to buy in 2026?

Buy
Key signals
✓ 100.0% analyst Buy✓ +46.9% upside to $11✓ $1.37B large-cap✓ Short pressure —
✗ Revenue -74.6% YoY✗ FCF yield -12.63%

KDK stock presents a complex picture for investors in 2026. While all 2 analysts maintain a ‘Buy’ rating with a consensus target of $11, suggesting a significant upside of 46.9%, its underlying financial metrics reveal substantial challenges. The company trades at a negative P/E ratio of -3.07x against a sector average of 67.5x, and its discounted cash flow (DCF) fair value stands at a mere $0.06, indicating a severe overvaluation according to this model.

✓ Strong Analyst Confidence
✗ Severe Profitability Issues
⚠ Hold Signal

2026 KDK price scenarios

Based on analyst consensus of $11 from 2 analysts. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.

Pessimistic$11
+46.9%

Key risks:

  • Continued sharp decline in revenue, failing to reverse the -74.6% YoY trend.
  • Worsening of already extreme negative margins, leading to unsustainable cash burn.
  • Failure to meet future earnings estimates, particularly the anticipated EPS of $-0.18, eroding investor confidence.
0.0% of analysts · sell

Base case$11
+46.9% upside

Assumes:

  • Kodiak AI, Inc. stabilizes its revenue, with forward revenue reaching the analyst consensus of $784,050,000.
  • The company manages to curtail its significant operating losses, moving towards the forward EPS estimate of $0.43.
  • The market continues to value KDK stock based on its long-term potential in AI autonomy, as indicated by current analyst sentiment.
0.0% hold · consensus view

Optimistic$11
+46.9% upside

Requires:

  • Kodiak AI, Inc. successfully expands its AI-powered ground autonomy solutions into new, high-growth markets, significantly exceeding the forward revenue target.
  • Dramatic improvements in operational efficiency and cost management lead to a rapid return to profitability, surpassing the forward EPS estimate of $0.43.
  • Major contracts or technological breakthroughs validate its multi-sensor architecture, attracting further institutional investment and boosting KDK valuation.
0.0% of analysts · strong buy

How does KDK compare?

Side-by-side valuation, growth, and analyst ratings vs top Technology competitors.

About Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock (KDK)

Kodiak AI, Inc. develops a technology software. The Company offers AI-powered ground autonomy solutions for vehicles to navigate highways, surface streets, and off-road terrain through multi-sensor architecture transportation technology for trucking, defense, and industrial industries.

Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) operates within the dynamic Technology sector, specifically in Software – Application, pioneering AI-powered ground autonomy solutions. Led by CEO Don Burnette, the company focuses on developing advanced technology for vehicles to navigate diverse terrains, serving critical industries like trucking, defense, and general industrial applications. Its unique multi-sensor architecture is central to its offering, aiming to provide robust and reliable autonomous capabilities.

KDK competitive moat and business analysis

Assessing the competitive moat for KDK stock reveals significant challenges on the profitability front. With a gross margin of -695.86%, net margin of -10366.94%, and EBITDA margin of -467.47%, Kodiak AI, Inc. is currently operating at substantial losses, far from demonstrating a sustainable competitive advantage through superior cost structures or pricing power. Furthermore, specific data for Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is unavailable (N/A), making it difficult to gauge efficiency in capital deployment, though the negative margins suggest a dire need for operational turnaround.

Information regarding Kodiak AI, Inc.’s revenue breakdown by segments or geographical regions is not publicly disclosed at this time. This lack of transparency can make it challenging for investors to fully understand the specific drivers of the company’s performance and where its core strengths or vulnerabilities might lie within the Software – Application industry.

The trend in KDK’s business performance, particularly its revenue growth, points to a contracting moat. The reported revenue of $3,797,000 represents a significant year-over-year decline of -74.6%. This sharp contraction suggests that Kodiak AI, Inc. is struggling to maintain or grow its market position, raising concerns about its ability to fend off competitors or capture new opportunities in the highly competitive technology space. Without a transcript to provide qualitative insights, the quantitative data paints a challenging picture for KDK stock.

In the context of its peers, Kodiak AI, Inc. must demonstrate a clear path to profitability and sustainable growth to justify its current KDK valuation. While direct comparisons require detailed analysis, interested investors should explore how KDK stacks up against companies like KDK vs ADEA, KDK vs ALIT, and KDK vs AMPL, focusing on their respective market share, technological innovation, and financial health. This peer comparison is crucial for understanding KDK’s competitive standing and potential investment viability.

Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock analyst rating

Based on 2 analysts. 100.0% rate KDK Buy or Strong Buy.

Buy / Hold / Sell breakdown

BUY
2 analysts

Buy100.0%

Hold0.0%

Sell0.0%

12-month price target range
$11$11$11
LowConsensusHigh
Current price$7.49Below all targets
To consensus
+46.9%
To high
+46.9%
Analysts
2
Buy
Based on 2 analyst ratings
Consensus target
$11
+46.9% upside
Strong buy

0.0%

Buy

100.0%

Hold

0.0%

Sell

0.0%

Strong sell

0.0%

The unanimous ‘Buy’ rating from two analysts for KDK stock, representing 100.0% buy recommendations, might seem exceptionally strong. However, in the Technology sector, where analyst coverage can be extensive, a consensus based on only two analysts, particularly for a company with KDK’s current financial profile, warrants careful consideration and further independent research.

KDK financial scorecard

Comprehensive ranking of KDK across four financial dimensions.

Financial strength

3.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Debt / equity-2.07x
Low debt

Current ratio3.69x
Healthy

FCF yield-12.63%
Weak

DCF vs price-99.2%
Overvalued

FMP debt score1/5
Below avg

Profitability rank

10/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Gross margin-695.86%
Low

Net margin-10366.94%
Low

EBITDA margin-467.47%
Low

ROEN/A
Low

ROAN/A
Low

FMP ROE score5/5
Above avg

Growth rank

4.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Revenue growth YoY-74.6%
Declining

Revenue (TTM)$3,797,000
Large scale

Forward EPS est.$0.43
Analyst consensus

Forward revenue$0.8B
Analyst consensus

FMP DCF score2/5
Below avg

Valuation rank

2.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
P/E ratio-3.07x
Cheap

P/B ratio-58.1x
Cheap

P/S ratio329.0x
Expensive

DCF fair value$0.06
Overvalued

FMP P/E score1/5
Below avg

FMP overall2/5
Weak

Is KDK undervalued or overvalued?

DCF $0.06Fair valuePremiumHigh $11
CheapPremiumRich

$7.49
P/E ratio
-3.07x

Cheap

P/B ratio
-58.1x

Cheap

P/S ratio
329.0x

Expensive

DCF value
$0.06

-99.2%

FCF yield
-12.63%

Negative

Analyst tgt
$11

+46.9% upside

KDK P/E ratio
-3.07x
Software – Application sector avg
67.5x
Premium / discount
70.6 discount to sector

When evaluating KDK valuation, a look at its P/E ratio reveals a significant divergence from the industry average. Kodiak AI, Inc. currently has a negative P/E ratio of -3.07x, standing in stark contrast to the Software – Application sector average P/E of 67.5x. This negative P/E indicates that the company is not currently profitable, making traditional earnings-based valuation metrics challenging. While a negative P/E might superficially appear ‘cheap,’ it fundamentally signals ongoing losses rather than an undervalued KDK stock.

Further challenging the KDK valuation is the discounted cash flow (DCF) model, which pegs Kodiak AI, Inc.’s fair value at $0.06. This figure suggests a staggering -99.2% discount compared to the current stock price, strongly indicating that KDK stock is significantly overvalued based on its projected future cash flows. The negative P/B ratio of -58.1x also highlights concerns about the company’s book value, further complicating a clear valuation picture for Kodiak AI, Inc.

KDK financial health & key metrics

MetricKDKSector avgSignal
P/E ratio-3.07x67.5xCheap
Net margin-10366.94%Very Weak
ROE / ROICN/AN/A
Debt / equity-2.07xHealthy
FCF yield-12.63%Weak
Revenue growth-74.6%Very Weak
DCF fair value$0.06Overvalued

For value investors, the current financial health of KDK stock presents a mixed, yet predominantly concerning, outlook. While the company exhibits a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of -2.07x and current ratio of 3.69x, suggesting some balance sheet stability, its profitability metrics are severely challenged, evidenced by deeply negative gross, net, and EBITDA margins. The substantial -74.6% revenue decline and negative free cash flow yield of -12.63% underscore operational difficulties. Given the DCF fair value of $0.06 indicating a significant overvaluation, KDK stock currently looks like a high-risk proposition from a fundamental value perspective, despite the analyst ‘Buy’ consensus. Is KDK a good stock for value investors? The current financials suggest extreme caution.

Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock earnings history & next report

Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock reported EPS of $0.1, beating estimates by 150.0%. Next earnings: 2026-08-06 with EPS estimate of $-0.18.

Kodiak AI, Inc. recently reported an EPS of $0.1, impressively beating estimates by 150.0%. This positive surprise offers a glimmer of hope amidst challenging financial metrics. Looking ahead, investors in KDK stock will be keenly watching the next earnings report scheduled for 2026-08-06, where the EPS estimate is set at $-0.18. For this upcoming report, key watch points include the trajectory of revenue growth, any improvements in gross or net margins, and management’s commentary on path to profitability and future market strategy. Sustained positive surprises or clear improvements in operational efficiency could begin to shift the narrative for Kodiak AI, Inc.

KDK daily short volume

Short volume data from FINRA CNMS Consolidated — shares sold short in the most recent US trading session. A high short ratio can signal bearish conviction or a potential short squeeze. Updated every trading day.

Loading short volume data…

KDK insider trading activity

Corporate insiders must report trades to the SEC within two business days.

Insider signal
Bullish
Insiders are net buyers — historically a positive signal.
Total purchases
$3,846,146,158,983
5 transactions
Total sales
$4,620,513
2 transactions
DateInsiderRoleTypeSharesPriceValueFiling
2026-05-08Aac Ii Holdings Ii Lp10 Percent OwnerPurchase769,230$4,999,995.00$3,846,146,153,850SEC
2026-05-08Aac Ii Holdings Ii Lp10 Percent OwnerSale769,230$6.00$4,615,380SEC
2025-12-30Major ZsuzsannaOfficer: Chief People OfficerSale10,000$0.51$5,133SEC
2025-12-30Major ZsuzsannaOfficer: Chief People OfficerPurchase10,000$0.51$5,133SEC
2025-09-24Aac Ii Holdings Ii Lp10 Percent OwnerSale0N/A$0SEC
2025-09-24Wiesinger MichaelOfficer: Chief Operating OfficerPurchase357,357N/A$0SEC

Source: SEC Form 4 via EDGAR · Data: Financial Modeling Prep · Not investment advice

Recent KDK analyst rating changes

FirmPreviousNew ratingDateAction
Chardan CapitalBuyBuy2026-05-08Reiterated
Chardan CapitalBuyBuy2026-03-25Reiterated
TD CowenBuyBuy2026-03-12Reiterated
Chardan CapitalBuyBuy2026-03-11Reiterated
Chardan CapitalBuyBuy2026-02-19Reiterated

Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock stock news today

As of 2026-05-12, Alert Invest has not identified any major breaking news or significant press releases specifically pertaining to Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock (KDK) this week. Investors are encouraged to monitor company filings and reputable financial news sources for any developments that might impact KDK stock performance or KDK valuation.

How does KDK compare to its peers?

To properly assess whether is KDK a good stock, it’s often beneficial to compare it against direct competitors and other players in the broader Software – Application industry. Below are a few peers in the Technology sector that investors might consider for comparative analysis against KDK stock.

ADEA

ADEA operates in the software space, often focusing on enterprise solutions or niche applications. Its performance can provide a benchmark for KDK’s market penetration and innovation within the Technology sector.

KDK vs ADEA

ALIT

ALIT is another significant player in the Software – Application industry, known for its scalable platforms. Comparing ALIT’s growth and profitability metrics against Kodiak AI, Inc. can highlight KDK’s relative strengths or weaknesses.

KDK vs ALIT

AMPL

AMPL offers diverse software products, often characterized by strong recurring revenue models. Examining AMPL’s financial stability and competitive positioning can offer valuable insights into the broader industry trends affecting KDK stock.

KDK vs AMPL

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FAQ — Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock (KDK) stock

As of 2026-05-12, KDK market cap is $1.37B.

KDK P/E is -3.07x vs Software – Application sector avg 67.5x. This indicates the company is currently unprofitable, making it difficult to apply traditional P/E valuation and suggesting it’s not simply ‘cheap’ but rather in a loss-making state.

Based on 2 analysts, consensus target is $11 (+46.9% upside). High: $11. Low: $11. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.

With a unanimous 100.0% analyst ‘Buy’ consensus and a potential +46.9% upside to the $11 target, KDK stock appears attractive from an analyst perspective. However, its deeply negative P/E ratio of -3.07x compared to the sector average of 67.5x, coupled with significant negative margins and a highly discounted DCF fair value, highlights substantial financial risks. It is crucial to conduct thorough personal research beyond analyst ratings, as this is not investment advice.

While KDK’s negative P/E ratio of -3.07x and P/B ratio of -58.1x might suggest it is ‘cheap’ by traditional metrics, these are primarily indicators of significant unprofitability rather than undervaluation. Conversely, its P/S ratio of 329.0x is extremely high, and the discounted cash flow (DCF) model indicates a fair value of only $0.06, suggesting that KDK stock is significantly overvalued based on fundamental projections despite analyst sentiment.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data: Financial Modeling Prep & SEC EDGAR. Always do your own research.