Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026

NASDAQ
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Updated 2026-05-19

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026

Current price
$444.58 ▲ 2.05%
Market cap$2.05T
ConsensusBuy
Price target$427.5 +8.0%
52-week range190.03-421.97
Next earnings2026-07-16

TSM interactive stock chart

Key statistics

Overall score

✓ Strong Buy
Valuation

5.0/10

Financial health

5.9/10

Profitability

10/10

Growth

10/10

Analyst consensus

7.2/10

Current price
$444.58 ▲ 2.05%
NASDAQ · Live

52-week range
190.03-421.97
Low89%High
Short pressure
Revenue TTM
$3848.51B
↑ 33.0% YoY

Market cap
$2.05T
Large-cap

Next earnings
2026-07-16
EPS est. $3.66
Market cap$2.05TToday’s volume11,098,026
Revenue (TTM)$3848.51BAvg. daily volumeN/A
P/E ratio29.64xToday’s rangeN/A – N/A
Debt / equity0.17x52-week range190.03-421.97
Net margin47.0%Beta1.264x
ROEN/A%Current ratio2.49x
Dividend & yield$3.1728 (0.01%)Next earnings2026-07-16
FCF yield1.78%FMP ratingB+
DCF fair value$153.06 (-61.3%)Revenue growth33.0%
Other Technology stocks to watchAll stocks →

See also: AMAT · AMKR · ASML · ASX · AVGO · All Semiconductors stocks

Is TSM a good stock to buy in 2026?

Buy
Key signals
✓ 72.0% analyst Buy✓ +8.0% upside to $427.5✓ $2.05T large-cap✓ Short pressure —
✗ P/E 29.64x vs sector 62.0x

TSM stock presents a mixed bag for investors. While 72.0% of analysts rate it a Buy and it offers an 8.0% upside to the consensus target of $427.5, its P/E ratio of 29.64x, though lower than the sector average of 62.0x, contrasts sharply with a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation of $153.06, suggesting the stock may be overvalued by over 61.3%. However, its strong profitability and growth metrics cannot be ignored when considering if TSM is a good stock.

Top Strength: Exceptional Profitability & Growth
Top Weakness: Significant DCF Overvaluation
Overall Signal: Buy

2026 TSM price scenarios

Based on analyst consensus of $427.5 from 25 analysts. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.

Pessimistic$330
-16.7%

Key risks:

  • Escalation of geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Taiwan, impacting manufacturing stability.
  • A significant global economic downturn leading to reduced demand for semiconductor products across all sectors.
  • Intensified competition from rival foundries or integrated device manufacturers eroding TSM’s market share and pricing power.
0.0% of analysts · sell

Base case$427.5
+8.0% upside

Assumes:

  • Continued robust demand for advanced semiconductor chips, driven by AI and high-performance computing.
  • Successful execution of TSM’s capital expenditure plans and expansion into new geographies like the U.S. and Japan.
  • Forward EPS of approximately $666.43 and forward revenue of around $7.92T are met as per analyst expectations.
28.0% hold · consensus view

Optimistic$480
+21.2% upside

Requires:

  • Accelerated adoption of cutting-edge technologies and new product cycles, creating stronger-than-anticipated demand for TSM’s most advanced nodes.
  • Significant breakthroughs in process technology that further widen its lead over competitors, attracting premium customers.
  • A favorable macroeconomic environment with strong global GDP growth and stable geopolitical relations, particularly in East Asia.
0.0% of analysts · strong buy

How does TSM compare?

Side-by-side valuation, growth, and analyst ratings vs top Technology competitors.

About Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM)

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides a range of wafer fabrication processes, including processes to manufacture complementary metal- oxide-semiconductor (CMOS) logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, embedded memory, bipolar CMOS mixed-signal, and others. The company also offers customer and engineering support services; manufactures masks; and invests in technology start-up companies; researches, designs, develops, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells color filters; and provides investment services.

Led by CEO C. C. Wei, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited operates with a workforce of 65,152 dedicated employees. TSM’s distinctive strength lies in its pure-play foundry business model, serving a vast array of fabless semiconductor companies globally. This strategic focus has allowed TSM to become the world’s largest dedicated independent semiconductor foundry, a critical enabler of the digital age.

TSM competitive moat and business analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited commands a significant competitive advantage through its technological leadership and scale in advanced process nodes. The company boasts exceptional profitability metrics, with a net margin of 47.0%, reflecting its efficient operations and pricing power. While specific Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) figures are not readily available, the strong net margin indicates highly effective asset utilization and shareholder value creation.

TSM’s business is globally diversified, fabricating chips for a wide range of applications across various industries, including high-performance computing, smartphones, automotive, and IoT. While specific segmented revenue data for fiscal year 2025 is not detailed, TSM’s global reach ensures it serves leading technology companies worldwide. Its manufacturing facilities are primarily located in Taiwan, with expansion underway in other key regions to serve its international clientele, which spans major markets like the United States, Europe, and Asia.

The company’s competitive moat continues to strengthen, driven by its relentless investment in R&D and capital expenditures for next-generation fabrication technologies. TSM reported an impressive revenue growth of 33.0% year-over-year, indicating a rapidly expanding business and increasing demand for its leading-edge chips. This consistent growth trajectory demonstrates its ability to capture new market opportunities and maintain its leadership position in an intensely competitive industry.

When considering TSM stock and its competitive position against peers, it’s clear the company operates in a league of its own for foundry services. Direct comparisons reveal that while companies like TSM vs AMAT (Applied Materials) focus on equipment, TSM vs AMKR (Amkor Technology) specializes in packaging and test services, and TSM vs ASML provides critical lithography equipment, TSM remains the dominant player in actual wafer fabrication. This specialized focus and continuous innovation underpin TSM’s long-term business resilience and market leadership.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited analyst rating

Based on 25 analysts. 72.0% rate TSM Buy or Strong Buy.

Buy / Hold / Sell breakdown

BUY
25 analysts

Buy72.0%

Hold28.0%

Sell0.0%

12-month price target range
$330$427.5$480
LowConsensusHigh
Current price$395.95Below all targets
To consensus
+8.0%
To high
+21.2%
Analysts
25
Buy
Based on 25 analyst ratings
Consensus target
$427.5
+8.0% upside
Strong buy

0.0%

Buy

72.0%

Hold

28.0%

Sell

0.0%

Strong sell

0.0%

A 72.0% “Buy” rating from 25 analysts is indeed a strong endorsement within the highly dynamic Technology sector, suggesting significant confidence in TSM’s future performance and long-term potential. This level of consensus indicates that most experts believe TSM stock has solid fundamentals and growth prospects going forward.

TSM financial scorecard

Comprehensive ranking of TSM across four financial dimensions.

Financial strength

6.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Debt / equity0.17x
Low debt

Current ratio2.49x
Healthy

FCF yield1.78%
Weak

DCF vs price-61.3%
Overvalued

FMP debt score3/5
Average

Profitability rank

10/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Gross margin61.87%
Excellent

Net margin47.0%
Excellent

EBITDA margin71.17%
Excellent

ROEN/A
Low

ROAN/A
Low

FMP ROE score5/5
Above avg

Growth rank

10/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Revenue growth YoY+33.0%
Accelerating

Revenue (TTM)$3848.51B
Large scale

Forward EPS est.$666.42855
Analyst consensus

Forward revenue$7921.9B
Analyst consensus

FMP DCF score3/5
Average

Valuation rank

3.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
P/E ratio29.64x
Cheap

P/B ratio9.71x
Expensive

P/S ratio13.93x
Expensive

DCF fair value$153.06
Overvalued

FMP P/E score2/5
Below avg

FMP overall3/5
Average

Is TSM undervalued or overvalued?

DCF $153.06Fair valuePremiumHigh $480
CheapPremiumRich

$395.95
P/E ratio
29.64x

Cheap

P/B ratio
9.71x

Expensive

P/S ratio
13.93x

Expensive

DCF value
$153.06

-61.3%

FCF yield
1.78%

Fair

Analyst tgt
$427.5

+8.0% upside

TSM P/E ratio
29.64x
Semiconductors sector avg
62.0x
Premium / discount
32.4 discount to sector

Determining if TSM stock is undervalued or overvalued requires a multi-faceted approach. On one hand, TSM’s P/E ratio of 29.64x appears favorable when compared to the Semiconductors sector average of 62.0x, suggesting it trades at a significant discount relative to its industry peers. This could signal an attractive entry point for investors seeking value within the sector. However, other valuation metrics paint a different picture, raising questions about TSM valuation.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis estimates TSM’s fair value at $153.06, which is a substantial -61.3% below its current price. This wide discrepancy suggests that, based on future cash flow projections, TSM stock may be considerably overvalued. Furthermore, its P/B ratio of 9.71x and P/S ratio of 13.93x are notably higher than industry averages, indicating that investors are paying a premium for the company’s assets and sales. This complex TSM valuation landscape suggests that while the P/E ratio might offer a glimpse of value, other metrics urge caution.

TSM financial health & key metrics

MetricTSMSector avgSignal
P/E ratio29.64x62.0xCheap
Net margin47.0%Excellent
ROE / ROICN/AN/A
Debt / equity0.17xLow Debt
FCF yield1.78%Weak
Revenue growth33.0%Strong
DCF fair value$153.06Overvalued

For value investors, TSM stock presents a compelling case for its robust financial health and impressive growth, highlighted by a strong 33.0% revenue growth and an exceptional net margin of 47.0%, alongside very low debt-to-equity at 0.17x. While the discounted P/E ratio of 29.64x compared to the sector average of 62.0x could suggest an attractive valuation, the significantly lower DCF fair value of $153.06 (-61.3% from current price) and a weak FCF yield of 1.78% introduce a degree of caution regarding its intrinsic value at the current price.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited earnings history & next report

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited reported EPS of $3.49, beating estimates by 5.44%. Next earnings: 2026-07-16 with EPS estimate of $3.66.

Investors will be closely watching TSM’s next earnings report on 2026-07-16, with analysts estimating an EPS of $3.66. Key areas to monitor will include any updates on demand for advanced node technologies, progress on global expansion plans in the U.S. and Japan, and management’s outlook on capital expenditures and the broader semiconductor market. Any deviation from this EPS estimate or shifts in guidance could significantly impact TSM stock price movements.

TSM daily short volume

Short volume data from FINRA CNMS Consolidated — shares sold short in the most recent US trading session. A high short ratio can signal bearish conviction or a potential short squeeze. Updated every trading day.

Loading short volume data…

TSM insider trading activity

Corporate insiders must report trades to the SEC within two business days.

Insider signal
Bullish
Insiders are net buyers — historically a positive signal.
Total purchases
$35,551
8 transactions
Total sales
$0
0 transactions
DateInsiderRoleTypeSharesPriceValueFiling
2026-05-08Zhang Kevin XiaoqiangOfficer: Svp And Deputy Co-CooPurchase66$71.82$4,740SEC
2026-05-08Yuan LipenOfficer: VpPurchase44$71.82$3,160SEC
2026-05-08Yoo Chue-SanOfficer: VpPurchase55$71.82$3,950SEC
2026-05-08Wei Che-ChiaDirector, Officer: Chairman And CeoPurchase160$71.82$11,491SEC
2026-05-08Yeap Choh FeiOfficer: SvpPurchase59$71.82$4,237SEC
2026-05-08Tien Bor-ZenOfficer: VpPurchase44$71.82$3,160SEC

Source: SEC Form 4 via EDGAR · Data: Financial Modeling Prep · Not investment advice

Recent TSM analyst rating changes

FirmPreviousNew ratingDateAction
BarclaysOverweightOverweight2026-04-22Reiterated
DA DavidsonBuyBuy2026-04-17Reiterated
NeedhamBuyBuy2026-04-16Reiterated
Freedom BrokerBuyBuy2026-04-07Reiterated
BarclaysOverweightOverweight2026-01-16Reiterated

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited stock news today

There has been no major news or press releases for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) stock reported this week.

How does TSM compare to its peers?

Understanding TSM’s position within the broader Technology sector requires comparing it to key players that either operate in similar areas or provide complementary services. While Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited is a pure-play foundry, its ecosystem involves equipment suppliers and other semiconductor service providers. This comparison highlights TSM’s unique strengths and potential competitive pressures.

AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc. is a leading supplier of equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor industry. While not a direct manufacturing competitor, its performance is closely tied to the capital expenditure cycles of foundries like TSM.

TSM vs AMAT

AMKR

Amkor Technology, Inc. provides outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services. As a critical partner in the semiconductor supply chain, Amkor’s operations complement TSM’s wafer fabrication by handling the post-foundry stages.

TSM vs AMKR

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. is a major manufacturer of photolithography equipment, which is essential for producing integrated circuits. ASML’s advanced machinery is crucial for TSM’s ability to develop cutting-edge chip technologies.

TSM vs ASML

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FAQ — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) stock

As of 2026-05-19, TSM market cap is $2.05T.

TSM P/E is 29.64x vs Semiconductors sector avg 62.0x. This indicates TSM stock is currently trading at a significant discount compared to its sector peers, potentially making it appear cheap from a P/E perspective.

Based on 25 analysts, consensus target is $427.5 (+8.0% upside). High: $480. Low: $330. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.

With 72.0% analyst Buy ratings and an 8.0% upside to the $427.5 consensus target, TSM stock shows strong investor confidence. Its P/E of 29.64x is significantly lower than the sector average of 62.0x, potentially offering a value play. Not investment advice.

TSM’s P/E of 29.64x is below the sector 62.0x average, but its DCF fair value of $153.06 suggests it could be significantly overvalued at current prices, further supported by high P/S (13.93x) and P/B (9.71x) ratios.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data: Financial Modeling Prep & SEC EDGAR. Always do your own research.