Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026

NASDAQ
FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation
Updated 2026-05-04

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026

Current price
$1292.15 ▲ 3.32%
Market cap$24.35B
ConsensusBuy
Price target$1593.56 +51.6%
52-week range870.01-2217.6
Next earnings2026-07-29

FICO interactive stock chart

Key statistics

Overall score

✓ Strong Buy
Valuation

5.0/10

Financial health

7.2/10

Profitability

10/10

Growth

9.0/10

Analyst consensus

8.3/10

Current price
$1292.15 ▲ 3.32%
NASDAQ · Live

52-week range
870.01-2217.6
Low13%High
Short pressure
44.2%
Moderate short activity
Revenue TTM
$1.99B
↑ 15.9% YoY

Market cap
$24.35B
Large-cap

Next earnings
2026-07-29
EPS est. $11.62
Market cap$24.35BToday’s volume115,369
Revenue (TTM)$1.99BAvg. daily volumeN/A
P/E ratio32.7xToday’s range1037.3 – 1072.63
Debt / equity-1.74x52-week range870.01-2217.6
Net margin33.67%Beta1.376x
ROEN/A%Current ratio2.22x
Dividend & yield$0 (0%)Next earnings2026-07-29
FCF yield3.66%FMP ratingC+
DCF fair value$512.91 (-51.2%)Revenue growth15.9%
Other Technology stocks to watchAll stocks →

See also: CLS · CTSH · GRMN · NOK · PTC · All Software – Application stocks

Is FICO a good stock to buy in 2026?

Buy
Key signals
✓ 83.3% analyst Buy✓ +51.6% upside to $1593.56✓ $24.35B large-cap✓ Short pressure 44.2%
✗ P/E 32.7x vs sector 69.7x

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) presents a compelling case with a P/E ratio of 32.7x, significantly below the Software – Application sector average of 69.7x, suggesting a relative discount. Despite a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation of $512.91 which indicates the stock may be overvalued by -51.2% at current prices, a strong 83.3% of analysts rate FICO stock as a Buy. Investors considering FICO stock should weigh its strong market position and analyst confidence against the DCF valuation signal.

Top Strength: High Profitability (Net Margin 33.67%)
Top Weakness: Overvalued by DCF (-51.2%)
Overall Signal: Buy

2026 FICO price scenarios

Based on analyst consensus of $1593.56 from 18 analysts. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.

Pessimistic$1150
+9.4%

Key risks:

  • Increased competition from alternative credit scoring models or open-source solutions eroding market share.
  • Regulatory changes impacting data usage or credit scoring methodologies, leading to operational constraints or reduced demand.
  • A significant economic downturn reducing demand for new credit, thereby diminishing FICO’s core business volume.
0.0% of analysts · sell

Base case$1593.56
+51.6% upside

Assumes:

  • FICO maintains its market leadership in credit scoring and decision management, supporting forward EPS of $86.08023 and forward revenue of $3.8 billion.
  • Continued adoption of its cloud-based solutions drives consistent revenue growth and margin stability, reflecting its strong competitive moat.
  • Analyst sentiment remains largely positive, with the majority maintaining Buy ratings and the stock tracking towards the consensus target of $1593.56.
16.7% hold · consensus view

Optimistic$1950
+85.5% upside

Requires:

  • FICO successfully expands into new global markets or industries, significantly exceeding current forward revenue estimates.
  • Innovation in AI and machine learning further solidifies its predictive analytics offerings, attracting new high-value clients and expanding its addressable market.
  • A more favorable economic environment leads to increased consumer lending activity, boosting demand for FICO’s core scoring and software solutions and driving FICO stock higher.
0.0% of analysts · strong buy

How does FICO compare?

Side-by-side valuation, growth, and analyst ratings vs top Technology competitors.

About Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO)

Fair Isaac Corporation develops analytic, software, and data management products and services that enable businesses to automate, enhance, and connect decisions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Scores and Software. The Software segment offers pre-configured decision management solution designed for various business problems or processes, such as marketing, account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection, financial crimes compliance, collection, and marketing, as well as associated professional services.

Led by CEO William J. Lansing, Fair Isaac Corporation employs 3,718 dedicated professionals who are at the forefront of data analytics and decision management. The company’s distinctive strength lies in its ubiquitous FICO Score, which has become a global standard in credit assessment. Beyond its scoring prowess, FICO leverages its deep expertise to provide sophisticated software solutions that help businesses automate and optimize critical decisions across customer lifecycle management, fraud detection, and regulatory compliance, solidifying its position as a vital technology partner to financial institutions worldwide.

FICO competitive moat and business analysis

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) possesses a formidable competitive advantage, primarily anchored by its proprietary FICO Score which is deeply embedded within the global financial ecosystem. This market-dominant position contributes to an exceptional gross margin of 84.16% and a robust net margin of 33.67%, indicating strong pricing power and efficient operations. While Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) are reported as N/A in the available data, the high margins suggest efficient capital utilization in its core software and analytics business. The extensive network effects of the FICO Score, where its widespread adoption reinforces its value, create significant barriers to entry for competitors. Furthermore, the high switching costs for banks and lenders to migrate from FICO’s integrated decision management platforms further solidify its moat.

FICO’s business operations are strategically divided into two core segments: Scores and Software. The Scores segment provides credit origination, customer management, and other analytic scoring products, forming the foundational revenue stream. The Software segment offers pre-configured decision management solutions designed for various business challenges, including marketing, fraud detection, and regulatory compliance, along with professional services. As of fiscal year 2025 (ending September 30, 2025), FICO’s reported revenue was $1.99 billion. Geographically, while specific breakdowns for FY2025 were not provided in detail, FICO maintains a global footprint, serving clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region, indicating diversified revenue exposure.

FICO’s competitive moat appears to be strengthening, driven by its consistent innovation and the increasing reliance on data-driven decisions across industries. The company’s robust revenue growth of 15.9% year-over-year demonstrates strong demand for its analytics and software solutions. This growth trajectory suggests that FICO is not only defending its existing market share but also expanding its influence in new applications and regions. The continuous evolution of its FICO Falcon Platform for fraud detection and the FICO Platform for customer engagement underscores its commitment to maintaining technological leadership and relevance in a dynamic market. This sustained investment in product development is critical for extending its competitive advantage.

When evaluating FICO stock, it’s beneficial to compare its position against key peers in the technology and software application sectors. While FICO specializes in credit scoring and decision management, companies like CLS, CTSH, and GRMN offer a broader perspective on the technology landscape. This comparison helps investors assess whether FICO’s valuation and growth prospects align with broader industry trends. Examining FICO vs CLS, FICO vs CTSH, and FICO vs GRMN provides insights into relative strengths in areas like market penetration, R&D investment, and overall financial performance. Such peer analysis is crucial for understanding whether FICO’s unique business model translates into superior or comparable investment attributes within the competitive technology sector.

Fair Isaac Corporation analyst rating

Based on 18 analysts. 83.3% rate FICO Buy or Strong Buy.

Buy / Hold / Sell breakdown

BUY
18 analysts

Buy83.3%

Hold16.7%

Sell0.0%

12-month price target range
$1150$1593.56$1950
LowConsensusHigh
Current price$1051.275Below all targets
To consensus
+51.6%
To high
+85.5%
18
Buy
Based on 18 analyst ratings
Consensus target
$1593.56
+51.6% upside
Strong buy

0.0%

Buy

83.3%

Hold

16.7%

Sell

0.0%

Strong sell

0.0%

An 83.3% Buy rating among 18 analysts is a notably strong consensus, particularly within the Technology sector where diverse business models can often lead to more varied opinions. This high level of confidence from covering analysts suggests a robust outlook for FICO stock, underpinning its investment appeal.

FICO financial scorecard

Comprehensive ranking of FICO across four financial dimensions.

Financial strength

4.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Debt / equity-1.74x
Low debt

Current ratio2.22x
Healthy

FCF yield3.66%
Fair

DCF vs price-51.2%
Overvalued

FMP debt score1/5
Below avg

Profitability rank

2/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Gross margin84.16%
Excellent

Net margin33.67%
Excellent

EBITDA margin51.54%
Excellent

ROEN/A
Low

ROAN/A
Low

FMP ROE score1/5
Below avg

Growth rank

10/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Revenue growth YoY+15.9%
Accelerating

Revenue (TTM)$1.99B
Large scale

Forward EPS est.$86.08023
Analyst consensus

Forward revenue$3.8B
Analyst consensus

FMP DCF score3/5
Average

Valuation rank

3.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
P/E ratio32.7x
Cheap

P/B ratio-11.82x
Cheap

P/S ratio10.81x
Expensive

DCF fair value$512.91
Overvalued

FMP P/E score2/5
Below avg

FMP overall2/5
Weak

Is FICO undervalued or overvalued?

DCF $512.91Fair valuePremiumHigh $1950
CheapPremiumRich

$1051.275
P/E ratio
32.7x

Cheap

P/B ratio
-11.82x

Cheap

P/S ratio
10.81x

Expensive

DCF value
$512.91

-51.2%

FCF yield
3.66%

Fair

Analyst tgt
$1593.56

+51.6% upside

FICO P/E ratio
32.7x
Software – Application sector avg
69.7x
Premium / discount
37.0 discount to sector

Assessing FICO stock valuation reveals a mixed but intriguing picture. The company’s P/E ratio stands at 32.7x, which is significantly lower than the Software – Application sector average of 69.7x. This suggests that FICO may be trading at a discount relative to its industry peers based on earnings, potentially making it an attractive consideration for investors seeking value in the technology space.

However, when looking at the discounted cash flow (DCF) model, FICO appears to be overvalued, with a fair value of $512.91 representing a -51.2% discount to its current price. Other metrics provide additional context: the P/S ratio of 10.81x indicates that the market assigns a premium to FICO’s sales, reflecting its strong brand and recurring revenue streams. The negative P/B ratio of -11.82x typically suggests negative book value, often a result of aggressive share buybacks exceeding retained earnings, which can distort traditional book value analysis. Despite these divergences, the consensus analyst target of $1593.56 implies substantial upside, highlighting that many market participants believe FICO stock holds further growth potential.

FICO financial health & key metrics

MetricFICOSector avgSignal
P/E ratio32.7x69.7xCheap
Net margin33.67%Excellent
ROE / ROICN/AN/A
Debt / equity-1.74xVery Low Debt
FCF yield3.66%Fair
Revenue growth15.9%Strong
DCF fair value$512.91Overvalued

For value investors, FICO stock presents a mixed financial picture. On one hand, its P/E ratio of 32.7x appears attractive compared to the sector average of 69.7x, indicating a potential discount. The company also boasts exceptional profitability with a net margin of 33.67% and strong revenue growth of 15.9%. However, the discounted cash flow (DCF) model suggests FICO is significantly overvalued by -51.2% at $512.91. While the negative debt-to-equity ratio signals low debt and a robust financial structure (likely due to share repurchases), the N/A for ROE/ROIC limits a full profitability assessment from a value perspective. Investors need to carefully weigh the company’s strong operational performance and relative P/E against the stark DCF valuation and the lack of clarity on equity-based returns.

Fair Isaac Corporation earnings history & next report

Fair Isaac Corporation reported EPS of $12.5, beating estimates by 13.33%. Next earnings: 2026-07-29 with EPS estimate of $11.62.

Fair Isaac Corporation’s recent earnings report saw EPS of $12.5, impressively beating estimates by 13.33%. Looking ahead, investors should closely monitor the next earnings release scheduled for July 29, 2026, where the EPS estimate stands at $11.62. Key aspects to watch include whether FICO can continue its streak of beating expectations, the guidance provided for future revenue and earnings growth, and any insights into the performance of its Software segment and international expansion efforts, which could further impact FICO stock performance.

FICO daily short volume

Short volume data from FINRA CNMS Consolidated — shares sold short in the most recent US trading session. A high short ratio can signal bearish conviction or a potential short squeeze. Updated every trading day.

Short ratio
44.2%
Moderate short activity
Short volume
43.5K
shares sold short
Total volume
98.4K
FINRA-reported
Short ratio barSession: 2026-05-01
0%44.2% shorted100%
MetricValueContext
Short volume ratio44.2%40-60% = moderate
Shares sold short43.5KFINRA-reported for 2026-05-01
Total reported volume98.4KAll FINRA ATS + OTC volume
Exempt short volumeN/AMarket-maker / arbitrage exempt trades
SignalModerate short activityFINRA CNMS Consolidated

FICO insider trading activity

Corporate insiders must report trades to the SEC within two business days.

Insider signal
Bullish
Insiders are net buyers — historically a positive signal.
Total purchases
$1,275,153
6 transactions
Total sales
$0
2 transactions
DateInsiderRoleTypeSharesPriceValueFiling
2026-03-04Arredondo Fabiola RDirectorPurchase154N/A$0SEC
2026-03-04Arredondo Fabiola RDirectorPurchase198N/A$0SEC
2026-03-04Arredondo Fabiola RDirectorSale154N/A$0SEC
2026-03-04Kelly Braden RDirectorPurchase171N/A$0SEC
2026-03-04Kelly Braden RDirectorPurchase363$1,464.01$531,436SEC
2026-03-04Kelly Braden RDirectorPurchase220N/A$0SEC

Source: SEC Form 4 via EDGAR · Data: Financial Modeling Prep · Not investment advice

Recent FICO analyst rating changes

FirmPreviousNew ratingDateAction
JP MorganNeutralNeutral2026-04-30Reiterated
Wells FargoOverweightOverweight2026-04-30Reiterated
NeedhamBuyBuy2026-04-29Reiterated
UBSNeutralNeutral2026-04-23Reiterated
Wells FargoOverweightOverweight2026-04-23Reiterated

Fair Isaac Corporation stock news today

No major news for Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) was reported this week. Investors can stay updated on FICO stock developments by checking company press releases and financial news outlets.

How does FICO compare to its peers?

When considering an investment in FICO stock, it’s insightful to examine how Fair Isaac Corporation stacks up against other players within the broader Technology sector, particularly those in the Software – Application industry or related IT services. While FICO operates in a specialized niche, comparing it with companies offering different but complementary services provides a valuable lens on market trends and relative strengths. Below, we compare FICO with three notable peers.

CLS

CoreLogic provides property information, analytics, and data-enabled services. It serves various industries, including real estate, mortgage, insurance, and government sectors, offering critical insights for property valuation and risk management.

FICO vs CLS

CTSH

Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation is a global provider of information technology, consulting, and business process services. It helps clients digitally transform their businesses by leveraging modern technologies and expertise in various industries.

FICO vs CTSH

GRMN

Garmin Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets navigation, communication, and information devices. Its diverse segments include automotive, aviation, marine, outdoor, and fitness, with products known for GPS technology and smart features.

FICO vs GRMN

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FAQ — Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) stock

As of 2026-05-04, FICO market cap is $24.35B.

FICO P/E is 32.7x vs Software – Application sector avg 69.7x. This suggests that FICO stock is trading at a discount compared to its sector peers by this metric.

Based on 18 analysts, consensus target is $1593.56 (+51.6% upside). High: $1950. Low: $1150. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) shows strong analyst confidence with 83.3% rating it a Buy, indicating a positive outlook and potential upside of +51.6% to the consensus target of $1593.56. Its P/E ratio of 32.7x is also significantly lower than the sector average of 69.7x, presenting a potentially attractive valuation relative to its industry. However, potential investors should also consider the DCF valuation indicating overvaluation. Not investment advice.

Based on its P/E ratio of 32.7x versus the sector average of 69.7x, FICO stock appears undervalued relative to its peers. However, a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis suggests it is overvalued by -51.2% at $512.91. Its P/S ratio of 10.81x indicates a premium valuation on sales, while a P/B of -11.82x suggests significant intangible assets or aggressive share buybacks leading to negative book value. Overall, the FICO valuation presents a mixed picture, with some metrics signaling undervaluation while others point to overvaluation.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data: Financial Modeling Prep & SEC EDGAR. Always do your own research.