FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation
Updated 2026-05-04
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026
$1292.15 ▲ 3.32%
FICO interactive stock chart
Key statistics
5.0/10
7.2/10
10/10
9.0/10
8.3/10
| Market cap | $24.35B | Today’s volume | 115,369 |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.99B | Avg. daily volume | N/A |
| P/E ratio | 32.7x | Today’s range | 1037.3 – 1072.63 |
| Debt / equity | -1.74x | 52-week range | 870.01-2217.6 |
| Net margin | 33.67% | Beta | 1.376x |
| ROE | N/A% | Current ratio | 2.22x |
| Dividend & yield | $0 (0%) | Next earnings | 2026-07-29 |
| FCF yield | 3.66% | FMP rating | C+ |
| DCF fair value | $512.91 (-51.2%) | Revenue growth | 15.9% |
See also: CLS · CTSH · GRMN · NOK · PTC · All Software – Application stocks
Is FICO a good stock to buy in 2026?
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) presents a compelling case with a P/E ratio of 32.7x, significantly below the Software – Application sector average of 69.7x, suggesting a relative discount. Despite a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation of $512.91 which indicates the stock may be overvalued by -51.2% at current prices, a strong 83.3% of analysts rate FICO stock as a Buy. Investors considering FICO stock should weigh its strong market position and analyst confidence against the DCF valuation signal.
2026 FICO price scenarios
Based on analyst consensus of $1593.56 from 18 analysts. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.
Key risks:
- Increased competition from alternative credit scoring models or open-source solutions eroding market share.
- Regulatory changes impacting data usage or credit scoring methodologies, leading to operational constraints or reduced demand.
- A significant economic downturn reducing demand for new credit, thereby diminishing FICO’s core business volume.
Assumes:
- FICO maintains its market leadership in credit scoring and decision management, supporting forward EPS of $86.08023 and forward revenue of $3.8 billion.
- Continued adoption of its cloud-based solutions drives consistent revenue growth and margin stability, reflecting its strong competitive moat.
- Analyst sentiment remains largely positive, with the majority maintaining Buy ratings and the stock tracking towards the consensus target of $1593.56.
Requires:
- FICO successfully expands into new global markets or industries, significantly exceeding current forward revenue estimates.
- Innovation in AI and machine learning further solidifies its predictive analytics offerings, attracting new high-value clients and expanding its addressable market.
- A more favorable economic environment leads to increased consumer lending activity, boosting demand for FICO’s core scoring and software solutions and driving FICO stock higher.
How does FICO compare?
Side-by-side valuation, growth, and analyst ratings vs top Technology competitors.
About Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO)
Fair Isaac Corporation develops analytic, software, and data management products and services that enable businesses to automate, enhance, and connect decisions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Scores and Software. The Software segment offers pre-configured decision management solution designed for various business problems or processes, such as marketing, account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection, financial crimes compliance, collection, and marketing, as well as associated professional services.
Led by CEO William J. Lansing, Fair Isaac Corporation employs 3,718 dedicated professionals who are at the forefront of data analytics and decision management. The company’s distinctive strength lies in its ubiquitous FICO Score, which has become a global standard in credit assessment. Beyond its scoring prowess, FICO leverages its deep expertise to provide sophisticated software solutions that help businesses automate and optimize critical decisions across customer lifecycle management, fraud detection, and regulatory compliance, solidifying its position as a vital technology partner to financial institutions worldwide.
FICO competitive moat and business analysis
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) possesses a formidable competitive advantage, primarily anchored by its proprietary FICO Score which is deeply embedded within the global financial ecosystem. This market-dominant position contributes to an exceptional gross margin of 84.16% and a robust net margin of 33.67%, indicating strong pricing power and efficient operations. While Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) are reported as N/A in the available data, the high margins suggest efficient capital utilization in its core software and analytics business. The extensive network effects of the FICO Score, where its widespread adoption reinforces its value, create significant barriers to entry for competitors. Furthermore, the high switching costs for banks and lenders to migrate from FICO’s integrated decision management platforms further solidify its moat.
FICO’s business operations are strategically divided into two core segments: Scores and Software. The Scores segment provides credit origination, customer management, and other analytic scoring products, forming the foundational revenue stream. The Software segment offers pre-configured decision management solutions designed for various business challenges, including marketing, fraud detection, and regulatory compliance, along with professional services. As of fiscal year 2025 (ending September 30, 2025), FICO’s reported revenue was $1.99 billion. Geographically, while specific breakdowns for FY2025 were not provided in detail, FICO maintains a global footprint, serving clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region, indicating diversified revenue exposure.
FICO’s competitive moat appears to be strengthening, driven by its consistent innovation and the increasing reliance on data-driven decisions across industries. The company’s robust revenue growth of 15.9% year-over-year demonstrates strong demand for its analytics and software solutions. This growth trajectory suggests that FICO is not only defending its existing market share but also expanding its influence in new applications and regions. The continuous evolution of its FICO Falcon Platform for fraud detection and the FICO Platform for customer engagement underscores its commitment to maintaining technological leadership and relevance in a dynamic market. This sustained investment in product development is critical for extending its competitive advantage.
When evaluating FICO stock, it’s beneficial to compare its position against key peers in the technology and software application sectors. While FICO specializes in credit scoring and decision management, companies like CLS, CTSH, and GRMN offer a broader perspective on the technology landscape. This comparison helps investors assess whether FICO’s valuation and growth prospects align with broader industry trends. Examining FICO vs CLS, FICO vs CTSH, and FICO vs GRMN provides insights into relative strengths in areas like market penetration, R&D investment, and overall financial performance. Such peer analysis is crucial for understanding whether FICO’s unique business model translates into superior or comparable investment attributes within the competitive technology sector.
Fair Isaac Corporation analyst rating
Based on 18 analysts. 83.3% rate FICO Buy or Strong Buy.
Buy83.3%
Hold16.7%
Sell0.0%
An 83.3% Buy rating among 18 analysts is a notably strong consensus, particularly within the Technology sector where diverse business models can often lead to more varied opinions. This high level of confidence from covering analysts suggests a robust outlook for FICO stock, underpinning its investment appeal.
FICO financial scorecard
Comprehensive ranking of FICO across four financial dimensions.
4.0/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Debt / equity | -1.74x | Low debt |
| Current ratio | 2.22x | Healthy |
| FCF yield | 3.66% | Fair |
| DCF vs price | -51.2% | Overvalued |
| FMP debt score | 1/5 | Below avg |
2/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Gross margin | 84.16% | Excellent |
| Net margin | 33.67% | Excellent |
| EBITDA margin | 51.54% | Excellent |
| ROE | N/A | Low |
| ROA | N/A | Low |
| FMP ROE score | 1/5 | Below avg |
10/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth YoY | +15.9% | Accelerating |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.99B | Large scale |
| Forward EPS est. | $86.08023 | Analyst consensus |
| Forward revenue | $3.8B | Analyst consensus |
| FMP DCF score | 3/5 | Average |
3.0/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 32.7x | Cheap |
| P/B ratio | -11.82x | Cheap |
| P/S ratio | 10.81x | Expensive |
| DCF fair value | $512.91 | Overvalued |
| FMP P/E score | 2/5 | Below avg |
| FMP overall | 2/5 | Weak |
Is FICO undervalued or overvalued?
Cheap
Cheap
Expensive
-51.2%
Fair
+51.6% upside
Assessing FICO stock valuation reveals a mixed but intriguing picture. The company’s P/E ratio stands at 32.7x, which is significantly lower than the Software – Application sector average of 69.7x. This suggests that FICO may be trading at a discount relative to its industry peers based on earnings, potentially making it an attractive consideration for investors seeking value in the technology space.
However, when looking at the discounted cash flow (DCF) model, FICO appears to be overvalued, with a fair value of $512.91 representing a -51.2% discount to its current price. Other metrics provide additional context: the P/S ratio of 10.81x indicates that the market assigns a premium to FICO’s sales, reflecting its strong brand and recurring revenue streams. The negative P/B ratio of -11.82x typically suggests negative book value, often a result of aggressive share buybacks exceeding retained earnings, which can distort traditional book value analysis. Despite these divergences, the consensus analyst target of $1593.56 implies substantial upside, highlighting that many market participants believe FICO stock holds further growth potential.
FICO financial health & key metrics
| Metric | FICO | Sector avg | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 32.7x | 69.7x | Cheap |
| Net margin | 33.67% | — | Excellent |
| ROE / ROIC | N/A | — | N/A |
| Debt / equity | -1.74x | — | Very Low Debt |
| FCF yield | 3.66% | — | Fair |
| Revenue growth | 15.9% | — | Strong |
| DCF fair value | $512.91 | — | Overvalued |
For value investors, FICO stock presents a mixed financial picture. On one hand, its P/E ratio of 32.7x appears attractive compared to the sector average of 69.7x, indicating a potential discount. The company also boasts exceptional profitability with a net margin of 33.67% and strong revenue growth of 15.9%. However, the discounted cash flow (DCF) model suggests FICO is significantly overvalued by -51.2% at $512.91. While the negative debt-to-equity ratio signals low debt and a robust financial structure (likely due to share repurchases), the N/A for ROE/ROIC limits a full profitability assessment from a value perspective. Investors need to carefully weigh the company’s strong operational performance and relative P/E against the stark DCF valuation and the lack of clarity on equity-based returns.
Fair Isaac Corporation earnings history & next report
Fair Isaac Corporation reported EPS of $12.5, beating estimates by 13.33%. Next earnings: 2026-07-29 with EPS estimate of $11.62.
Fair Isaac Corporation’s recent earnings report saw EPS of $12.5, impressively beating estimates by 13.33%. Looking ahead, investors should closely monitor the next earnings release scheduled for July 29, 2026, where the EPS estimate stands at $11.62. Key aspects to watch include whether FICO can continue its streak of beating expectations, the guidance provided for future revenue and earnings growth, and any insights into the performance of its Software segment and international expansion efforts, which could further impact FICO stock performance.
FICO daily short volume
Short volume data from FINRA CNMS Consolidated — shares sold short in the most recent US trading session. A high short ratio can signal bearish conviction or a potential short squeeze. Updated every trading day.
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Short volume ratio | 44.2% | 40-60% = moderate |
| Shares sold short | 43.5K | FINRA-reported for 2026-05-01 |
| Total reported volume | 98.4K | All FINRA ATS + OTC volume |
| Exempt short volume | N/A | Market-maker / arbitrage exempt trades |
| Signal | Moderate short activity | FINRA CNMS Consolidated |
FICO insider trading activity
Corporate insiders must report trades to the SEC within two business days.
| Date | Insider | Role | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Arredondo Fabiola R | Director | Purchase | 154 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-04 | Arredondo Fabiola R | Director | Purchase | 198 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-04 | Arredondo Fabiola R | Director | Sale | 154 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-04 | Kelly Braden R | Director | Purchase | 171 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-04 | Kelly Braden R | Director | Purchase | 363 | $1,464.01 | $531,436 | SEC |
| 2026-03-04 | Kelly Braden R | Director | Purchase | 220 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
Source: SEC Form 4 via EDGAR · Data: Financial Modeling Prep · Not investment advice
Recent FICO analyst rating changes
| Firm | Previous | New rating | Date | Action | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Neutral | → | Neutral | 2026-04-30 | Reiterated |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | → | Overweight | 2026-04-30 | Reiterated |
| Needham | Buy | → | Buy | 2026-04-29 | Reiterated |
| UBS | Neutral | → | Neutral | 2026-04-23 | Reiterated |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | → | Overweight | 2026-04-23 | Reiterated |
Fair Isaac Corporation stock news today
How does FICO compare to its peers?
When considering an investment in FICO stock, it’s insightful to examine how Fair Isaac Corporation stacks up against other players within the broader Technology sector, particularly those in the Software – Application industry or related IT services. While FICO operates in a specialized niche, comparing it with companies offering different but complementary services provides a valuable lens on market trends and relative strengths. Below, we compare FICO with three notable peers.
CoreLogic provides property information, analytics, and data-enabled services. It serves various industries, including real estate, mortgage, insurance, and government sectors, offering critical insights for property valuation and risk management.
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation is a global provider of information technology, consulting, and business process services. It helps clients digitally transform their businesses by leveraging modern technologies and expertise in various industries.
Garmin Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets navigation, communication, and information devices. Its diverse segments include automotive, aviation, marine, outdoor, and fitness, with products known for GPS technology and smart features.
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FAQ — Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) stock
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data: Financial Modeling Prep & SEC EDGAR. Always do your own research.
