MFG
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.
Updated 2026-04-09
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026
$8.69 ▲ 0.46%
MFG interactive stock chart
Key statistics
| Market cap | $105.17B | Today’s volume | 1,087,018 |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8600.15B | Avg. daily volume | N/A |
| P/E ratio | 15.9x | Today’s range | 8.45 – 8.79 |
| Debt / equity | 5.76x | 52-week range | 4.31-10.28 |
| Net margin | 12.86% | Beta | 0.352x |
| ROE | N/A% | Current ratio | 0.26x |
| Dividend & yield | $0.068886 (0.02%) | Next earnings | 2026-05-21 |
| FCF yield | 0% | FMP rating | A- |
| DCF fair value | $68.91 (709.3%) | Revenue growth | 9.5% |
See also: BMO · BNS · CM · DB · ITUB · All Banks – Regional stocks
Is MFG a good stock to buy in 2026?
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) presents a mixed financial picture as of April 2026. While its P/E ratio of 15.9x is slightly above the Banks – Regional sector average of 14.2x, suggesting a modest premium, its DCF fair value of $68.91 indicates a significant potential undervaluation of 709.3% relative to its current price. Analyst sentiment leans towards caution, with only 20.0% rating MFG stock a “Buy,” reflecting a “Hold” consensus.
2026 MFG price scenarios
Based on analyst consensus of $10 from 5 analysts. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.
Requires:
- Sustained growth in key Japanese and international markets.
- Improved global economic conditions boosting lending and investment banking.
- Successful execution of strategic initiatives by CEO Masahiro Kihara.
Assumes:
- Consistent performance in line with its forward EPS estimate of $152.73057 and forward revenue expectations of approximately $2546.9 billion.
- Stable interest rate environment supporting traditional banking operations.
- Continued effective management of its diverse global financial services portfolio.
Key risks:
- Unexpected downturns in global or regional economies impacting loan demand and asset quality.
- Increased regulatory scrutiny or changes in financial policy affecting profitability.
- Intense competition within the highly saturated financial services sector.
How does MFG compare?
Side-by-side valuation, growth, and analyst ratings vs top Financial Services competitors.
About Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG)
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in banking, trust, securities, and other businesses related to financial services in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Retail & Business Banking Company, Corporate & Institutional Company, Global Corporate Company, Global Markets Company, and Asset Management Company. The company provides deposit products; syndicated, housing, and card loans; business matching se
Under the leadership of CEO Masahiro Kihara, Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. operates as a leading Japanese financial institution with a strong global presence, employing 51,212 individuals across its diverse business segments. Its distinctive strengths lie in its integrated financial services model, encompassing retail and business banking, corporate and institutional banking, global markets, and asset management, allowing it to cater to a broad client base both domestically and internationally. This comprehensive approach, combined with its robust operational scale, establishes MFG as a significant player in the competitive Financial Services sector.
MFG competitive moat and business analysis
Mizuho Financial Group’s competitive advantage in the Financial Services sector stems from its integrated financial solutions and broad customer base. With a net margin of 12.86%, MFG demonstrates solid profitability within its operations. However, the absence of specific ROE and ROIC data makes a direct comparison difficult in these key areas. For investors considering MFG stock, this indicates a need to look beyond traditional profitability metrics, focusing instead on its stable business model and diversified revenue streams across banking, trust, and securities services.
MFG operates across a range of segments including Retail & Business Banking, Corporate & Institutional, Global Corporate, Global Markets, and Asset Management. These segments, which were last reported for the fiscal year 2025 ending March 31, 2025, in JPY, contribute to its comprehensive financial service offerings. Geographically, Mizuho maintains a significant footprint in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and Asia/Oceania, underscoring its role as a global financial powerhouse. This geographical diversification helps to mitigate regional economic risks for MFG stock investors.
The company’s revenue growth of 9.5% indicates a positive trend in its business, suggesting an expanding competitive moat. Unfortunately, no recent transcript quotes are available to provide direct management commentary on this growth. However, this consistent revenue expansion implies successful strategic execution and adaptability in a dynamic financial landscape, reinforcing the strength of MFG stock in terms of its market position and potential for continued growth.
When evaluating MFG stock, it’s crucial to compare its performance against key peers in the Banks – Regional industry. While MFG maintains a strong market presence, a deeper dive into its metrics against competitors like MFG vs BMO, MFG vs BNS, and MFG vs CM can offer further insights. These comparisons would highlight relative strengths in areas like asset quality, operational efficiency, and capital adequacy, which are critical for assessing long-term investment viability in the financial services sector.
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. analyst rating
Based on 5 analysts. 20.0% rate MFG Buy or Strong Buy.
With 20.0% of analysts rating Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. as a “Buy” or “Strong Buy,” this level of conviction is generally considered moderate for the Financial Services sector. While not overwhelmingly bullish, it reflects a segment of the analyst community seeing value in MFG stock, while the overall consensus remains “Hold.”
MFG financial scorecard
Comprehensive ranking of MFG across four financial dimensions.
6.0/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Debt / equity | 5.76x | High debt |
| Current ratio | 0.26x | Tight |
| FCF yield | 0% | Weak |
| DCF vs price | +709.3% | Undervalued |
| FMP debt score | 1/5 | Below avg |
8/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Gross margin | 44.85% | Good |
| Net margin | 12.86% | Good |
| EBITDA margin | 16.49% | Good |
| ROE | N/A | Low |
| ROA | N/A | Low |
| FMP ROE score | 4/5 | Above avg |
7.8/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth YoY | +9.5% | Steady |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8600.15B | Large scale |
| Forward EPS est. | $152.73057 | Analyst consensus |
| Forward revenue | $2546.9B | Analyst consensus |
| FMP DCF score | 5/5 | Above avg |
6.0/10
| Metric | Value | Signal & strength |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 15.9x | Fair |
| P/B ratio | 1.49x | Cheap |
| P/S ratio | 2.04x | Cheap |
| DCF fair value | $68.91 | Undervalued |
| FMP P/E score | 3/5 | Average |
| FMP overall | 4/5 | Strong |
Is MFG undervalued or overvalued?
Assessing MFG valuation reveals a nuanced picture. The company’s P/E ratio stands at 15.9x, which is slightly higher than the Banks – Regional sector average of 14.2x. This indicates that investors are currently willing to pay a modest premium for MFG stock compared to its industry peers, which could suggest expectations for future growth or perceived stability within its operations.
However, a deeper look at the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model suggests MFG might be significantly undervalued. With a DCF fair value estimated at $68.91, this implies a substantial 709.3% upside from its current trading price, highlighting a potential discrepancy between market pricing and intrinsic value for MFG stock.
MFG financial health & key metrics
| Metric | MFG | Sector avg | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 15.9x | 14.2x | Premium |
| Net margin | 12.86% | — | Healthy |
| ROE / ROIC | N/A | — | N/A |
| Debt / equity | 5.76x | — | High |
| FCF yield | 0% | — | Weak |
| Revenue growth | 9.5% | — | Strong |
| DCF fair value | $68.91 | — | Undervalued |
For value investors, Mizuho Financial Group (MFG) presents a mixed bag of financial health signals. While its P/E ratio trades at a slight premium to the sector, the DCF model points to a considerable undervaluation, suggesting potential long-term upside for MFG stock. However, a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.76x and a 0% FCF yield signal areas of financial weakness that warrant careful consideration. The healthy net margin of 12.86% and solid 9.5% revenue growth provide a degree of confidence in its operational efficiency and business momentum, but the overall risk profile due to debt and FCF should be thoroughly analyzed when considering MFG stock for a value-oriented portfolio.
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. earnings history & next report
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. reported EPS of $0.16, beating estimates by 14.29%. Next earnings: 2026-05-21 with EPS estimate of $0.08182.
Looking ahead to Mizuho Financial Group’s next earnings report on 2026-05-21, investors should closely monitor the actual EPS against the estimated $0.08182. Key areas to watch will be revenue growth across its diversified segments, changes in net interest income, and any commentary regarding asset quality or global economic outlook. Given the prior beat of $0.16 EPS by 14.29%, continued positive surprises or strong guidance could significantly impact the sentiment around MFG stock and its future trajectory.
MFG daily short volume
Short volume data from FINRA CNMS Consolidated — shares sold short in the most recent US trading session. A high short ratio can signal bearish conviction or a potential short squeeze. Updated every trading day.
| Metric | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Short volume ratio | 68.6% | >60% = dominant short pressure |
| Shares sold short | 1.09M | FINRA-reported for 2026-04-08 |
| Total reported volume | 1.59M | All FINRA ATS + OTC volume |
| Exempt short volume | N/A | Market-maker / arbitrage exempt trades |
| Signal | High bearish pressure | FINRA CNMS Consolidated |
MFG insider trading activity
Corporate insiders must report trades to the SEC within two business days.
| Date | Insider | Role | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Shiraishi Shiro | Officer: Chief Risk Officer | Sale | 0 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-18 | Shiraishi Shiro | Officer: Chief Risk Officer | Sale | 2,150 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-18 | Shiraishi Shiro | Officer: Chief Risk Officer | Sale | 3,947 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-18 | Uchida Takakazu | Director | Sale | 0 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-18 | Uchida Takakazu | Director | Sale | 1,650 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
| 2026-03-18 | Hirama Hisaaki | Director | Sale | 0 | N/A | $0 | SEC |
Source: SEC Form 4 via EDGAR · Data: Financial Modeling Prep · Not investment advice
Recent MFG analyst rating changes
| Firm | Previous | New rating | Date | Action | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | → | Neutral | 2021-03-31 | Reiterated |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | → | Neutral | 2021-03-30 | Reiterated |
| Jefferies | Buy | → | Hold | 2016-02-04 | Reiterated |
| Citigroup | Neutral | → | Sell | 2016-02-04 | Downgrade |
| Citigroup | Neutral | → | Sell | 2016-02-03 | Downgrade |
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. stock news today
How does MFG compare to its peers?
To gain a comprehensive understanding of MFG stock’s competitive position, it is beneficial to compare its performance and characteristics against other prominent players within the Financial Services sector, specifically within the Banks – Regional industry. This comparative analysis helps investors gauge relative strengths, weaknesses, and potential opportunities for Mizuho Financial Group against its rivals.
Bank of Montreal (BMO) is a diversified financial services provider in North America. It offers personal, commercial, wealth management, and capital markets services.
The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) is a multinational banking and financial services company. It operates across various segments, including Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets.
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) provides a full range of financial products and services. Its operations include Personal and Business Banking, Wealth Management, and Capital Markets.
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FAQ — Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) stock
What is the market cap for MFG?
As of 2026-04-09, MFG market cap is $105.17B.
What is the P/E ratio for MFG?
MFG P/E is 15.9x vs Banks – Regional sector avg 14.2x. This suggests MFG stock is currently trading at a slight premium compared to its industry peers, implying it is relatively more expensive.
What is the analyst price target for MFG?
Consensus: $10 (17.4% upside). High: $10. Low: $10. 5 analysts as of 2026-04-09. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.
Is MFG a good investment in 2026?
Evaluating whether MFG stock is a good investment in 2026 requires considering its mixed signals. While only 20.0% of analysts rate it a ‘Buy’ with a ‘Hold’ consensus, its P/E ratio of 15.9x is slightly above the sector average, suggesting a fair to slightly rich valuation. However, a significant DCF fair value of $68.91 indicates potential deep undervaluation, making MFG an interesting prospect for those who believe in its intrinsic value over current market sentiment. Investors should weigh its strong revenue growth and healthy margins against its high debt and weak free cash flow.
Is MFG overvalued or undervalued?
MFG’s P/E ratio of 15.9x trades at a premium to the Banks – Regional sector average of 14.2x, which could suggest it is currently fairly valued or slightly overvalued by the market. Conversely, its Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis points to a fair value of $68.91, representing a substantial 709.3% potential upside, strongly suggesting MFG stock is significantly undervalued based on its intrinsic value.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data: Financial Modeling Prep & SEC EDGAR. Always do your own research.
