Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026

NASDAQ
KNSL
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.
Updated 2026-05-04

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Stock Price, Analysis & Forecast 2026

Current price
$304.87 ▼ 1.28%
Market cap$7.19B
ConsensusHold
Price target$433 +38.9%
52-week range308.61-512.76
Next earnings2026-07-23

KNSL interactive stock chart

Key statistics

Overall score

✓ Strong Buy
Valuation

9.5/10

Financial health

9.9/10

Profitability

10/10

Growth

9.5/10

Analyst consensus

2.3/10

Current price
$304.87 ▼ 1.28%
NASDAQ · Live

52-week range
308.61-512.76
Low2%High
Short pressure
56.2%
Moderate short activity
Revenue TTM
$1.87B
↑ 18.0% YoY

Market cap
$7.19B
Large-cap

Next earnings
2026-07-23
EPS est. $5.08
Market cap$7.19BToday’s volume295,819
Revenue (TTM)$1.87BAvg. daily volumeN/A
P/E ratio13.59xToday’s range308.61 – 328.45
Debt / equity0.11x52-week range308.61-512.76
Net margin27.48%Beta1.081x
ROEN/A%Current ratio0.85x
Dividend & yield$0.76 (0.0%)Next earnings2026-07-23
FCF yield14.1%FMP ratingA-
DCF fair value$530.42 (70.1%)Revenue growth18.0%
Other Financial Services stocks to watchAll stocks →

See also: AFG · AXS · CNA · MORN · ONB · All Insurance – Property & Casualty stocks

Is KNSL a good stock to buy in 2026?

Hold
Key signals
✓ 23.1% analyst Buy✓ +38.9% upside to $433✓ $7.19B large-cap✓ Short pressure 56.2%
✗ P/E 13.59x vs sector 20x

Considering a P/E ratio of 13.59x, which is significantly below the sector average of 20x, KNSL stock appears attractively valued. Our discounted cash flow (DCF) model suggests a fair value of $530.42, indicating a substantial 70.1% upside potential from its current price. While analyst consensus leans towards “Hold,” 23.1% of analysts still rate KNSL a Buy, suggesting potential for upside for investors wondering if KNSL is a good stock to buy.

Substantial DCF Upside
Moderate Short Activity
KNSL: Potential Undervaluation

2026 KNSL price scenarios

Based on analyst consensus of $433 from 13 analysts. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.

Pessimistic$433
+38.9%

Key risks:

  • Regulatory changes impacting the specialty insurance market.
  • A sustained period of high claims impacting profitability.
  • Increased competition eroding market share.
15.4% of analysts · sell

Base case$433
+38.9% upside

Assumes:

  • Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. continues its strong revenue growth trajectory.
  • Achieves the forward EPS estimate of $22.95.
  • Meets its forward revenue target of $1.948 billion, alongside stable macroeconomic conditions in the financial services sector.
61.5% hold · consensus view

Optimistic$433
+38.9% upside

Requires:

  • Continued expansion in the specialty insurance market.
  • Better-than-expected earnings performance and margin improvements.
  • A positive re-rating of KNSL stock valuation by the broader market.
0.0% of analysts · strong buy

How does KNSL compare?

Side-by-side valuation, growth, and analyst ratings vs top Financial Services competitors.

About Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL)

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc., a specialty insurance company, provides property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company’s commercial lines offerings include construction, small business, excess and general casualty, commercial property, allied health, life sciences, energy, environmental, health care, inland marine, public entity, and commercial insurance, as well as product, professional, and management liability insurance. It markets and sells its insurance products in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the U.S.

Under the leadership of CEO Michael Patrick Kehoe, Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. operates with a dedicated team of 660 employees, specializing in the excess and surplus lines insurance market. This focus allows the company to underwrite risks that standard insurers avoid, providing a unique market position. Their agility and expertise in complex risks contribute to their distinctive strength in the competitive financial services landscape, setting them apart in the Property & Casualty insurance industry.

KNSL competitive moat and business analysis

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. demonstrates a strong competitive advantage primarily through its focus on the excess and surplus lines insurance market. This niche specialization allows KNSL to command pricing power for unique and harder-to-place risks, translating into robust profitability. A net margin of 27.48% highlights their operational efficiency and disciplined underwriting, significantly outperforming many peers in the broader Financial Services sector. While specific ROE/ROIC data is not available, the exceptional net margin points to effective capital deployment within their specialized segment.

Currently, a detailed breakdown of revenue by specific segments or geographical regions for Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is not publicly available. However, their operations span all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, indicating a broad national presence within the specialty insurance market.

The company’s revenue growth of 18.0% year-over-year underscores the expanding demand for specialized insurance products and KNSL’s ability to capture this market. This consistent growth trajectory reinforces the effectiveness of their business model and their capacity to maintain a strong competitive moat by serving segments with less competition. The favorable market dynamics for specialty insurance products suggest a positive trend for Kinsale’s continued growth and market penetration.

When evaluating KNSL stock against its peers, it’s essential to consider its distinct focus. While American Financial Group (AFG) offers a diversified insurance portfolio, and AXIS Capital Holdings (AXS) and CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) operate across various property, casualty, and specialty lines, Kinsale’s specific emphasis on excess and surplus lines provides a unique risk profile and growth opportunities. Comparing KNSL valuation metrics and growth rates with these larger, more diversified players helps to contextualize KNSL’s position in the broader Financial Services industry. For a detailed side-by-side analysis, explore KNSL vs AFG, KNSL vs AXS, and KNSL vs CNA.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. analyst rating

Based on 13 analysts. 23.1% rate KNSL Buy or Strong Buy.

Buy / Hold / Sell breakdown

HOLD
13 analysts

Buy23.1%

Hold61.5%

Sell15.4%

12-month price target range
$433$433$433
LowConsensusHigh
Current price$311.74Below all targets
To consensus
+38.9%
To high
+38.9%
Analysts
13
Hold
Based on 13 analyst ratings
Consensus target
$433
+38.9% upside
Strong buy

0.0%

Buy

23.1%

Hold

61.5%

Sell

15.4%

Strong sell

0.0%

A 23.1% ‘Buy’ rating among analysts, while not a majority, still indicates a segment of the market sees significant upside potential for KNSL stock. Given the Financial Services sector often sees a more cautious approach from analysts, this level of buy conviction, coupled with a solid price target, suggests a noteworthy positive outlook for Kinsale Capital Group.

KNSL financial scorecard

Comprehensive ranking of KNSL across four financial dimensions.

Financial strength

8.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Debt / equity0.11x
Low debt

Current ratio0.85x
Tight

FCF yield14.1%
Strong

DCF vs price+70.1%
Undervalued

FMP debt score3/5
Average

Profitability rank

10/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Gross margin46.64%
Good

Net margin27.48%
Excellent

EBITDA margin35.4%
Excellent

ROEN/A
Low

ROAN/A
Low

FMP ROE score5/5
Above avg

Growth rank

10/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
Revenue growth YoY+18.0%
Accelerating

Revenue (TTM)$1.87B
Large scale

Forward EPS est.$22.95
Analyst consensus

Forward revenue$1.9B
Analyst consensus

FMP DCF score5/5
Above avg

Valuation rank

3.0/10

MetricValueSignal & strength
P/E ratio13.59x
Cheap

P/B ratio3.64x
Fair

P/S ratio3.75x
Fair

DCF fair value$530.42
Undervalued

FMP P/E score2/5
Below avg

FMP overall4/5
Strong

Is KNSL undervalued or overvalued?

DCF $530.42Fair valuePremiumHigh $433
CheapPremiumRich

$311.74
P/E ratio
13.59x

Cheap

P/B ratio
3.64x

Fair

P/S ratio
3.75x

Fair

DCF value
$530.42

Undervalued

FCF yield
14.1%

Strong

Analyst tgt
$433

+38.9% upside

When assessing KNSL valuation, the P/E ratio stands out as a key indicator. At 13.59x, KNSL stock trades at a considerable discount compared to the Financial Services sector average P/E of 20x, suggesting it could be undervalued relative to its industry peers. This lower P/E ratio, despite strong profitability, points to a potentially attractive entry point for investors seeking value in the insurance sector.

Furthermore, our discounted cash flow (DCF) model calculates a fair value of $530.42 for KNSL, representing a robust 70.1% upside from its current trading price. This DCF analysis strongly supports the notion that KNSL stock is undervalued, offering significant long-term growth potential. Coupled with a strong FCF yield of 14.1%, these metrics collectively present a compelling case for a favorable KNSL valuation.

KNSL financial health & key metrics

MetricKNSLSector avgSignal
P/E ratio13.59x20xCheap
Net margin27.48%Excellent
ROE / ROICN/AN/A
Debt / equity0.11xLow Debt
FCF yield14.1%Strong
Revenue growth18.0%Strong
DCF fair value$530.42Undervalued

For value investors, the financial health of Kinsale Capital Group presents a mixed yet compelling picture. The exceptionally low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11x signifies robust financial stability, while a healthy FCF yield of 14.1% indicates strong cash generation. Although the current ratio is 0.85x which is tight, KNSL’s profitability is outstanding with a 27.48% net margin, and its revenue growth of 18.0% demonstrates a thriving business. The P/E ratio of 13.59x, significantly below the sector average of 20x, and a DCF fair value of $530.42, point to a potentially undervalued KNSL stock with substantial upside, making it an interesting candidate for those focused on intrinsic value.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. earnings history & next report

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. reported EPS of $5.11, beating estimates by 8.72%. Next earnings: 2026-07-23 with EPS estimate of $5.08.

For the upcoming earnings report on 2026-07-23, investors will be closely watching Kinsale Capital Group’s ability to sustain its impressive growth momentum and profitability. The estimated EPS of $5.08 will be a key metric; any significant deviation could impact KNSL stock performance. Beyond the headline numbers, attention should be paid to management’s outlook on claims trends, underwriting margins, and any commentary on market conditions in the specialty insurance sector, which are crucial for assessing the long-term trajectory of KNSL’s financial health.

KNSL daily short volume

Short volume data from FINRA CNMS Consolidated — shares sold short in the most recent US trading session. A high short ratio can signal bearish conviction or a potential short squeeze. Updated every trading day.

Short ratio
56.2%
Moderate short activity
Short volume
70.3K
shares sold short
Total volume
125.0K
FINRA-reported
Short ratio barSession: 2026-05-01
0%56.2% shorted100%
MetricValueContext
Short volume ratio56.2%40-60% = moderate
Shares sold short70.3KFINRA-reported for 2026-05-01
Total reported volume125.0KAll FINRA ATS + OTC volume
Exempt short volume1.4KMarket-maker / arbitrage exempt trades
SignalModerate short activityFINRA CNMS Consolidated

KNSL insider trading activity

Corporate insiders must report trades to the SEC within two business days.

Insider signal
Bearish
Insiders are net sellers — worth monitoring closely.
Total purchases
$0
4 transactions
Total sales
$1,334,620
4 transactions
DateInsiderRoleTypeSharesPriceValueFiling
2026-03-01Schnupp Diane D.Officer: Evp, Chief Information OfficerPurchase1,924N/A$0SEC
2026-03-01Schnupp Diane D.Officer: Evp, Chief Information OfficerSale728$389.67$283,680SEC
2026-03-01Beachy Mark J.Officer: Evp And Chief Claims OfficerPurchase2,053N/A$0SEC
2026-03-01Beachy Mark J.Officer: Evp And Chief Claims OfficerSale762$389.67$296,929SEC
2026-03-01Haney Brian D.Director, Officer: President And CooSale953$389.67$371,356SEC
2026-03-01Petrucelli Bryan P.Officer: Evp, Cfo And TreasurerPurchase2,822N/A$0SEC

Source: SEC Form 4 via EDGAR · Data: Financial Modeling Prep · Not investment advice

Recent KNSL analyst rating changes

FirmPreviousNew ratingDateAction
RBC CapitalSector PerformSector Perform2026-04-27Reiterated
Wells FargoOverweightEqual Weight2026-04-27Reiterated
Truist SecuritiesBuyBuy2026-04-27Reiterated
Wells FargoOverweightOverweight2026-04-09Reiterated
Cantor FitzgeraldNeutralNeutral2026-04-09Reiterated

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. stock news today

No major news for Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) has been reported this week. Investors are encouraged to consult financial news outlets for the latest updates that might impact KNSL stock performance.

How does KNSL compare to its peers?

Understanding how Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) stacks up against its industry counterparts is crucial for a complete investment picture. While KNSL specializes in the excess and surplus lines market, its performance and KNSL valuation can be contextualized by comparing it to other significant players in the Property & Casualty insurance sector. Here’s a look at some of its key competitors.

AFG

American Financial Group, Inc. operates as an insurance holding company. It provides property and casualty insurance products, with a focus on specialized commercial products. AFG is known for its diversified operations and strong balance sheet, offering a different risk profile compared to KNSL.

KNSL vs AFG

AXS

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited is a global provider of specialty insurance and reinsurance products. With a broad international presence, AXIS offers solutions across various lines, including property, casualty, professional lines, and specialty risks. This broader scope differentiates it from Kinsale’s more niche focus.

KNSL vs AXS

CNA

CNA Financial Corporation is a large commercial property and casualty insurance company. It provides a wide range of insurance products and services, primarily to businesses and professionals in the U.S., Canada, and Europe. CNA’s extensive distribution network and diverse product offerings make it a key competitor in the wider P&C market.

KNSL vs CNA

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FAQ — Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) stock

As of 2026-05-04, KNSL market cap is $7.19B.

KNSL P/E is 13.59x vs Insurance – Property & Casualty sector avg 20x. This indicates the stock is relatively cheap compared to its sector.

Based on 13 analysts, consensus target is $433 (+38.9% upside). High: $433. Low: $433. Not a prediction by Alert Invest.

KNSL shows promising indicators for 2026, with 23.1% of analysts rating it a ‘Buy’ and a consensus price target suggesting a +38.9% upside to $433. Additionally, its P/E ratio of 13.59x is significantly lower than the sector average of 20x, indicating potential undervaluation. However, this is not investment advice, and thorough personal research is recommended.

Based on a P/E ratio of 13.59x versus a sector average of 20x, and a DCF fair value of $530.42 (70.1% above its current price), Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) stock appears to be undervalued.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data: Financial Modeling Prep & SEC EDGAR. Always do your own research.